TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111436
Played Sep 12Finished
Alexander Tuzhylin
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
91110121012––––
Roman Cherevko
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeAlexander Tuzhylin to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlexander Tuzhylin above · Roman Cherevko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 64 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Alexander Tuzhylin at 70.7%
64 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Tuzhylin 160–58 Roman Cherevko Roman Cherevko has won 58 of their 218 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Tuzhylin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
160-58 in 218
Tuzhylin
Wrong
gap of 102 in 218, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuzhylin 1866 vs Cherevko 1673
Tuzhylin
Wrong
both rated, 193 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuzhylin 80% vs Cherevko 60%
Tuzhylin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuzhylin 80% vs Cherevko 40%
Tuzhylin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuzhylin +3 · Cherevko +1
Tuzhylin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Tuzhylin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cherevko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuzhylin 1.40 / Cherevko 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Tuzhylin)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111436
Tuzhylin1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite75% won 198 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it98% 127 of 129
Up 1–0, closes it89% 149 of 167
Cherevko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 71 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuzhylin6wins
AwayCherevko4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTuzhylin leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuzhylin83.3%5 of 6
AwayCherevko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuzhylin6Cherevko4n = 10Tuzhylin took 6 of 10
S2Tuzhylin6Cherevko4n = 10Tuzhylin took 6 of 10
S3Tuzhylin5Cherevko5n = 10split evenly
S4Tuzhylin3Cherevko0n = 3Tuzhylin took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTuzhylinCherevkoT − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.932.1+1.8per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTuzhylinCherevkoBasisWin rate · lifetime499 / 656 vs 380 / 74176.1%51.3%499 / 656 vs 380 / 741Avg sets wonper match2.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TuzhylinTuzhylin 1.40/Cherevko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Tuzhylin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cherevko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin—1111113R. Cherevko—9990
WAug 22 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin—1211113R. Cherevko—10850
WAug 15 · 20:25A. Tuzhylin—131111113R. Cherevko—157861
LAug 15 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin—99100R. Cherevko—1111123
LAug 9 · 20:25A. Tuzhylin—8760R. Cherevko—1111113
WAug 8 · 18:55A. Tuzhylin—1111113R. Cherevko—6980
LAug 8 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin—51090R. Cherevko—1112113
WAug 2 · 20:25A. Tuzhylin—11119113R. Cherevko—871171
WAug 1 · 20:25A. Tuzhylin—1111113R. Cherevko—7770
LAug 1 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin—11361872R. Cherevko—8111116113
A. Tuzhylin10
WSep 12 · 01:55A. Tuzhylin1.57101311143V. Melnik2.2512117121WSep 12 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin1.1191211113E. Pismenniy6.001110981WSep 11 · 22:55A. Tuzhylin1.1091111113R. Reznychenko6.50115791LSep 11 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.44781151Y. Masko2.6311115113WSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160WSep 5 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111116113R. Reznychenko6.00781161WSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191WSep 5 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.111112113E. Pismenniy6.0081080LSep 5 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.441211912102R. Cherevko2.631481110123WSep 5 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin1.111211113E. Pismenniy6.0010870
R. Cherevko10
WSep 12 · 02:25R. Cherevko1.4011148113E. Pismenniy2.758121151LSep 12 · 01:25R. Cherevko2.3881190Y. Masko1.531113113LSep 11 · 23:55R. Cherevko1.808990V. Melnik1.911111113WSep 11 · 21:55R. Cherevko1.5710121111113R. Reznychenko2.2512146982WSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:55R. Cherevko1.676111071R. Reznychenko2.1011712113LSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy2.50511511113R. Cherevko1.5011611652LSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532LSep 6 · 13:55V. Melnik1.801191173R. Cherevko1.91911921WSep 5 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.441211912102R. Cherevko2.631481110123
Upcoming Matches
A. Tuzhylin
R. Cherevko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.