TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111673
Played Sep 12Finished
Roman Cherevko
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113911––––
Yevhen Masko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Cherevko above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 63 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 59.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Roman Cherevko 92–150 Yevhen Masko Roman Cherevko has won 92 of their 242 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
92-150 in 242
Masko
Correct
gap of 58 in 242, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cherevko 1679 vs Masko 1705
Masko
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cherevko 40% vs Masko 60%
Masko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cherevko 50% vs Masko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cherevko +2 · Masko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Masko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCherevko 2.38 / Masko 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Masko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111673
Cherevko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 71 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Masko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 140 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it99% 84 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it90% 112 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCherevko2wins
AwayMasko8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCherevko66.7%2 of 3
AwayMasko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cherevko3Masko7n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S2Cherevko3Masko7n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S3Cherevko4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S4Cherevko1Masko4n = 5Masko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricCherevkoMaskoC − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.936.8−4.9per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCherevkoMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 738 vs 426 / 74551.4%57.2%379 / 738 vs 426 / 745Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoCherevko 2.38/Masko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 17:25R. Cherevko—791191Y. Masko—11119113
LSep 5 · 02:55R. Cherevko—68100Y. Masko—1111123
LAug 29 · 18:55R. Cherevko—6870Y. Masko—1111113
LAug 28 · 21:25R. Cherevko—11116762Y. Masko—861111113
WAug 23 · 20:25R. Cherevko—1412113Y. Masko—121080
LAug 22 · 17:55R. Cherevko—9880Y. Masko—1111113
WAug 22 · 02:25R. Cherevko—11711123Y. Masko—4119101
LAug 15 · 16:25R. Cherevko—881151Y. Masko—11113113
LAug 15 · 02:25R. Cherevko—813751Y. Masko—111111113
LAug 9 · 14:25R. Cherevko—910100Y. Masko—1112123
R. Cherevko10
WSep 12 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin1.40910100R. Cherevko2.751112123WSep 12 · 02:25R. Cherevko1.4011148113E. Pismenniy2.758121151LSep 11 · 23:55R. Cherevko1.808990V. Melnik1.911111113WSep 11 · 21:55R. Cherevko1.5710121111113R. Reznychenko2.2512146982WSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:55R. Cherevko1.676111071R. Reznychenko2.1011712113LSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy2.50511511113R. Cherevko1.5011611652LSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532LSep 6 · 13:55V. Melnik1.801191173R. Cherevko1.91911921WSep 5 · 19:55R. Reznychenko2.10511371R. Cherevko1.6711711113
Y. Masko10
LSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko3.2513611143Y. Masko1.3311119121WSep 11 · 23:25E. Pismenniy3.00101151142Y. Masko1.36129118113WSep 11 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.44781151Y. Masko2.6311115113LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970LSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160LSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103
Upcoming Matches
R. Cherevko
Y. Masko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.