TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116830
Played Sep 12Finished
Valeriy Melnik
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
81117191113––––
Yevhen Masko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeValeriy Melnik to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingValeriy Melnik above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 17-19
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 79 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Valeriy Melnik at 54.1%
79 points played in total.
H2H Valeriy Melnik 128–98 Yevhen Masko Yevhen Masko has won 98 of their 226 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:07What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
128-98 in 226
Melnik
Wrong
gap of 30 in 226, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnik 1695 vs Masko 1678
Melnik
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnik 60% vs Masko 40%
Melnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnik 50% vs Masko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnik -1 · Masko -3
Masko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Melnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 1.83 / Masko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Melnik)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116830
Melnik1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Masko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnik4wins
AwayMasko6wins
Masko leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnik100%4 of 4
AwayMasko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnik4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S2Melnik4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S3Melnik4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S4Melnik3Masko3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnikMaskoMelnik − MaskoBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.833.7+0.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 707 vs 428 / 75055.9%57.1%395 / 707 vs 428 / 750Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnikMelnik 1.83/Masko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Melnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 03:55V. Melnik331111113Y. Masko247980
LSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik381011891Y. Masko3612211113
WSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik4111811113Y. Masko30711931
LAug 29 · 03:55V. Melnik226880Y. Masko331111113
WAug 23 · 13:55V. Melnik3911611113Y. Masko31911471
LAug 22 · 19:25V. Melnik32129110Y. Masko381411133
LAug 21 · 22:25V. Melnik376119111Y. Masko4311811133
LAug 15 · 19:25V. Melnik28810100Y. Masko351112123
WAug 14 · 22:25V. Melnik3711114113Y. Masko30851161
LAug 9 · 15:55V. Melnik31491171Y. Masko3711114113
V. Melnik10
LSep 12 · 13:55V. Melnik2.106720A. Tuzhylin1.67111153WSep 12 · 03:55V. Melnik1.731111113Y. Masko2.007980LSep 12 · 01:55A. Tuzhylin1.57101311143V. Melnik2.2512117121WSep 12 · 24:55V. Melnik1.3311117113R. Reznychenko3.25571151WSep 11 · 23:55R. Cherevko1.808990V. Melnik1.911111113LSep 11 · 22:25V. Melnik1.44134111142E. Pismenniy2.63151159113WSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123LSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Melnik1.3691142R. Reznychenko3.0011831LSep 6 · 15:55V. Melnik1.5310860E. Pismenniy2.381211113
Y. Masko10
LSep 12 · 14:25Y. Masko1.671113971R. Cherevko2.10131111113LSep 12 · 03:55V. Melnik1.731111113Y. Masko2.007980LSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko3.2513611143Y. Masko1.3311119121WSep 12 · 01:25R. Cherevko2.3881190Y. Masko1.531113113WSep 11 · 23:25E. Pismenniy3.00101151142Y. Masko1.36129118113WSep 11 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.44781151Y. Masko2.6311115113LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970
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