TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111593
Played Sep 12Finished
Valeriy Melnik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119118––––
Yevhen Masko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeValeriy Melnik to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValeriy Melnik above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Valeriy Melnik at 54.1%
57 points played in total.
H2H Valeriy Melnik 127–97 Yevhen Masko Yevhen Masko has won 97 of their 224 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:22What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Melnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
127-97 in 224
Melnik
Correct
gap of 30 in 224, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnik 1696 vs Masko 1707
Masko
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnik 60% vs Masko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnik 60% vs Masko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnik -1 · Masko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Melnik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 1.73 / Masko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Melnik)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111593
Melnik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 138 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it99% 76 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it81% 106 of 131
Masko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 43 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back11% 6 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnik5wins
AwayMasko5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnik100%5 of 5
AwayMasko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnik5Masko5n = 10split evenly
S2Melnik4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S3Melnik5Masko5n = 10split evenly
S4Melnik3Masko2n = 5Melnik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnikMaskoMelnik − MaskoBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.432.2+1.2per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime394 / 705 vs 428 / 74855.9%57.2%394 / 705 vs 428 / 748Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnikMelnik 1.73/Masko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Melnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Melnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik—11811113Y. Masko—711931
LAug 29 · 03:55V. Melnik—6880Y. Masko—1111113
WAug 23 · 13:55V. Melnik—11611113Y. Masko—911471
LAug 22 · 19:25V. Melnik—129110Y. Masko—1411133
LAug 21 · 22:25V. Melnik—6119111Y. Masko—11811133
LAug 15 · 19:25V. Melnik—810100Y. Masko—1112123
WAug 14 · 22:25V. Melnik—11114113Y. Masko—851161
LAug 9 · 15:55V. Melnik—491171Y. Masko—11114113
WAug 8 · 18:25V. Melnik—1112113Y. Masko—51090
WAug 8 · 03:55V. Melnik—1111113Y. Masko—8670
V. Melnik10
LSep 12 · 01:55A. Tuzhylin1.57101311143V. Melnik2.2512117121WSep 12 · 24:55V. Melnik1.3311117113R. Reznychenko3.25571151WSep 11 · 23:55R. Cherevko1.808990V. Melnik1.911111113LSep 11 · 22:25V. Melnik1.44134111142E. Pismenniy2.63151159113WSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123LSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Melnik1.3691142R. Reznychenko3.0011831LSep 6 · 15:55V. Melnik1.5310860E. Pismenniy2.381211113WSep 6 · 13:55V. Melnik1.801191173R. Cherevko1.91911921WSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik1.8311811113Y. Masko1.83711931
Y. Masko10
LSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko3.2513611143Y. Masko1.3311119121WSep 12 · 01:25R. Cherevko2.3881190Y. Masko1.531113113WSep 11 · 23:25E. Pismenniy3.00101151142Y. Masko1.36129118113WSep 11 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.44781151Y. Masko2.6311115113LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970LSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 03:55V. Melnik1.8311811113Y. Masko1.83711931
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