TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111271
Played Sep 11Finished
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13111145111210––
Yaroslav Kravets
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Kravets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRuslan Lazebnyi above · Yaroslav Kravets below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Yaroslav Kravets at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Lazebnyi 2–4 Yaroslav Kravets Ruslan Lazebnyi has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:45What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kravets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Kravets
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lazebnyi 1567 vs Kravets 1600
Kravets
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lazebnyi 40% vs Kravets 20%
Lazebnyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lazebnyi 40% vs Kravets 60%
Kravets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lazebnyi -1 · Kravets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kravets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kravets form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLazebnyi 1.83 / Kravets 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kravets)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111271
Lazebnyi1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kravets1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLazebnyi2wins
AwayKravets4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKravets leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLazebnyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayKravets100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lazebnyi3Kravets3n = 6split evenly
S2Lazebnyi3Kravets3n = 6split evenly
S3Lazebnyi3Kravets3n = 6split evenly
S4Lazebnyi3Kravets2n = 5Lazebnyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricLazebnyiKravetsL − KBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match36.737.2−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLazebnyiKravetsBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 112 vs 240 / 48349.1%49.7%55 / 112 vs 240 / 483Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KravetsLazebnyi 1.83/Kravets 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kravets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lazebnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 7 · 15:25R. Lazebnyi—761111102Y. Kravets—111188123
LSep 4 · 18:35R. Lazebnyi—711661Y. Kravets—1191183
LAug 29 · 09:35R. Lazebnyi—116101372Y. Kravets—6111211113
WAug 15 · 07:05R. Lazebnyi—12311113Y. Kravets—1011061
LAug 14 · 14:05R. Lazebnyi—612731Y. Kravets—111011113
WAug 8 · 06:05R. Lazebnyi—1111113Y. Kravets—2920
R. Lazebnyi10
LSep 11 · 16:05R. Lazebnyi1.8315811652I. Romaniak1.831311311113WSep 11 · 14:35R. Lazebnyi2.001111113R. Haiseniuk1.739670LSep 11 · 12:35R. Lazebnyi1.57971111112M. Smyrnov2.25111164133LSep 7 · 18:55S. Rak1.301112113R. Lazebnyi3.4081080WSep 7 · 17:25R. Lazebnyi2.7511117113D. Shcherbak1.40671161LSep 7 · 15:25Y. Kravets1.83111188123R. Lazebnyi1.83761111102WSep 7 · 13:25I. Romaniak1.8051170R. Lazebnyi1.911113113LSep 7 · 12:25D. Pesternikov1.301116114113R. Lazebnyi3.4051881182LSep 5 · 11:05R. Lazebnyi2.10431111112N. Kovalchuk1.67111159133WSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113
Y. Kravets10
LSep 11 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.40111111113Y. Kravets2.75135441WSep 11 · 14:05Y. Kravets2.50611116113I. Romaniak1.5011591172LSep 11 · 13:05R. Haiseniuk1.53125613113Y. Kravets2.381011111122LSep 7 · 18:25Y. Kravets2.506780D. Shcherbak1.501111113LSep 7 · 16:25I. Romaniak1.5711811113Y. Kravets2.25811581WSep 7 · 15:25Y. Kravets1.83111188123R. Lazebnyi1.83761111102WSep 7 · 14:25D. Pesternikov1.531061171Y. Kravets2.3812117113WSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661WSep 4 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.301159101Y. Kravets3.4041111123WSep 4 · 15:35Y. Kravets1.501113113O. Napirko2.5081170
Upcoming Matches
R. Lazebnyi
Nothing scheduled
Y. Kravets
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