TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111604
Played Sep 11Finished
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12105116111311112
Yaroslav Kravets
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:34 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeRuslan Haiseniuk to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Haiseniuk above · Yaroslav Kravets below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 92 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Ruslan Haiseniuk at 64.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Haiseniuk 24–10 Yaroslav Kravets Yaroslav Kravets has won 10 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:34What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Haiseniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-10 in 34
Haiseniuk
Correct
gap of 14 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Haiseniuk 1542 vs Kravets 1610
Kravets
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Haiseniuk 20% vs Kravets 60%
Kravets
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Haiseniuk 20% vs Kravets 60%
Kravets
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Haiseniuk -1 · Kravets -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Haiseniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kravets form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHaiseniuk 1.53 / Kravets 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Haiseniuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13111604
Haiseniuk1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 140 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it83% 98 of 118
Kravets2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 70 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHaiseniuk8wins
AwayKravets2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHaiseniuk leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHaiseniuk80%4 of 5
AwayKravets20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Haiseniuk5Kravets5n = 10split evenly
S2Haiseniuk7Kravets3n = 10Haiseniuk took 7 of 10
S3Haiseniuk6Kravets4n = 10Haiseniuk took 6 of 10
S4Haiseniuk6Kravets1n = 7Haiseniuk took 6 of 7
S5Haiseniuk4Kravets2n = 6Haiseniuk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHaiseniukKravetsH − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.435.6+6.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHaiseniukKravetsBasisWin rate · lifetime411 / 740 vs 239 / 48055.5%49.8%411 / 740 vs 239 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HaiseniukHaiseniuk 1.53/Kravets 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Haiseniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Haiseniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 13:05R. Haiseniuk—511911113Y. Kravets—11311672
WAug 29 · 05:05R. Haiseniuk—1113113Y. Kravets—81140
WAug 15 · 05:05R. Haiseniuk—1111113Y. Kravets—9650
WAug 14 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk—135611113Y. Kravets—111111372
LAug 7 · 16:35R. Haiseniuk—157111082Y. Kravets—1311112113
WAug 1 · 10:05R. Haiseniuk—1111113Y. Kravets—9450
WJul 31 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk—611811113Y. Kravets—11911762
WJul 18 · 05:05R. Haiseniuk—691211113Y. Kravets—111110552
WJul 17 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk—21111113Y. Kravets—118781
LJul 11 · 09:35R. Haiseniuk—812101172Y. Kravets—1110122113
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 11 · 02:30N. Kovalchuk1.831191211113R. Haiseniuk1.8321114642WSep 11 · 01:30I. Romaniak1.61116961R. Haiseniuk2.2081111113LSep 11 · 24:00I. Kozachuk1.361111113R. Haiseniuk3.009790LSep 10 · 22:00D. Shcherbak1.361111113R. Haiseniuk3.006560LSep 10 · 20:00S. Rak1.3051112113R. Haiseniuk3.401161071LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113
Y. Kravets10
LSep 7 · 18:25Y. Kravets2.506780D. Shcherbak1.501111113LSep 7 · 16:25I. Romaniak1.5711811113Y. Kravets2.25811581WSep 7 · 15:25Y. Kravets1.83111188123R. Lazebnyi1.83761111102WSep 7 · 14:25D. Pesternikov1.531061171Y. Kravets2.3812117113WSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661WSep 4 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.301159101Y. Kravets3.4041111123WSep 4 · 15:35Y. Kravets1.501113113O. Napirko2.5081170LSep 4 · 14:35N. Hoshko1.501111133Y. Kravets2.5077110LSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113WAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123
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