TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111333
Played Sep 11Finished
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1513811113611511
Ivan Romaniak
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Romaniak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Lazebnyi above · Ivan Romaniak below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 94 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Ivan Romaniak at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Lazebnyi 2–1 Ivan Romaniak Ivan Romaniak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Romaniak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lazebnyi 1582 vs Romaniak 1690
Romaniak
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lazebnyi 40% vs Romaniak 60%
Romaniak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lazebnyi 40% vs Romaniak 60%
Romaniak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lazebnyi +1 · Romaniak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Romaniak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lazebnyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLazebnyi 1.83 / Romaniak 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Romaniak)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111333
Lazebnyi1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Romaniak1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLazebnyi2wins
AwayRomaniak1wins
Lazebnyi leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lazebnyi2Romaniak1n = 3Lazebnyi took 2 of 3
S2Lazebnyi3Romaniak0n = 3Lazebnyi took 3 of 3
S3Lazebnyi2Romaniak1n = 3Lazebnyi took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricLazebnyiRomaniakL − RBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.730.3+6.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLazebnyiRomaniakBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 111 vs 237 / 52349.6%45.3%55 / 111 vs 237 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomaniakLazebnyi 1.83/Romaniak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Romaniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Romaniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 7 · 13:25R. Lazebnyi—1113113I. Romaniak—51170
WAug 21 · 19:05R. Lazebnyi—1111113I. Romaniak—4780
LAug 20 · 23:30R. Lazebnyi—61112131I. Romaniak—11914153
R. Lazebnyi10
WSep 11 · 14:35R. Lazebnyi2.001111113R. Haiseniuk1.739670LSep 11 · 12:35R. Lazebnyi1.57971111112M. Smyrnov2.25111164133LSep 7 · 18:55S. Rak1.301112113R. Lazebnyi3.4081080WSep 7 · 17:25R. Lazebnyi2.7511117113D. Shcherbak1.40671161LSep 7 · 15:25Y. Kravets1.83111188123R. Lazebnyi1.83761111102WSep 7 · 13:25I. Romaniak1.8051170R. Lazebnyi1.911113113LSep 7 · 12:25D. Pesternikov1.301116114113R. Lazebnyi3.4051881182LSep 5 · 11:05R. Lazebnyi2.10431111112N. Kovalchuk1.67111159133WSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113LSep 5 · 08:05R. Lazebnyi2.3810380D. Shcherbak1.531211113
I. Romaniak10
LSep 11 · 14:05Y. Kravets2.50611116113I. Romaniak1.5011591172WSep 11 · 12:05N. Kovalchuk1.838970I. Romaniak1.831111113WSep 11 · 03:00D. Shcherbak1.6711148762I. Romaniak2.102121111113LSep 11 · 01:30I. Romaniak1.61116961R. Haiseniuk2.2081111113WSep 10 · 23:30N. Kovalchuk1.831311119102I. Romaniak1.83155311123LSep 10 · 21:30S. Rak1.441161112113I. Romaniak2.6391171492LSep 10 · 20:30I. Kozachuk1.731411123I. Romaniak2.00129100WSep 8 · 10:25I. Romaniak2.1011116113I. Kozachuk1.67871181WSep 8 · 08:55I. Romaniak2.75721211113D. Pesternikov1.40111110982LSep 7 · 13:25I. Romaniak1.8051170R. Lazebnyi1.911113113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.