TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106726
Played Sep 10Finished
Serhii Rak
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1196111171214119
Ivan Romaniak
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:23 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Rak to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Rak above · Ivan Romaniak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 101 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Rak at 66.9%
101 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Rak 59–24 Ivan Romaniak Ivan Romaniak has won 24 of their 83 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:23What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Rak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-24 in 83
Rak
Correct
gap of 35 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rak 1802 vs Romaniak 1682
Rak
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rak 80% vs Romaniak 60%
Rak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rak 60% vs Romaniak 40%
Rak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rak +3 · Romaniak -1
Rak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Rak) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romaniak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRak 1.44 / Romaniak 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Rak)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13106726
Rak1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 271 of 422
Up 2–0, closes it92% 134 of 145
Up 1–0, closes it81% 190 of 234
Romaniak2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 129 of 310
Down 0–1, comes back27% 50 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRak7wins
AwayRomaniak3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRak100%5 of 5
AwayRomaniak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rak5Romaniak5n = 10split evenly
S2Rak6Romaniak4n = 10Rak took 6 of 10
S3Rak5Romaniak5n = 10split evenly
S4Rak2Romaniak2n = 4split evenly
S5Rak3Romaniak0n = 3Rak took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRakRomaniakRak − RomaniakBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.632.1+3.5per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRakRomaniakBasisWin rate · lifetime501 / 911 vs 234 / 51755%45.3%501 / 911 vs 234 / 517Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RakRak 1.44/Romaniak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Rak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 07:25S. Rak—46100I. Romaniak—1111123
WSep 7 · 14:55S. Rak—1111113I. Romaniak—4380
WSep 6 · 21:45S. Rak—1111113I. Romaniak—5370
LSep 1 · 06:55S. Rak—7880I. Romaniak—1111113
WAug 31 · 13:55S. Rak—11811133I. Romaniak—7115111
WAug 25 · 07:25S. Rak—911911113I. Romaniak—11911772
WAug 24 · 18:55S. Rak—1111113I. Romaniak—6570
LAug 21 · 24:30S. Rak—10810I. Romaniak—1211113
WAug 18 · 11:35S. Rak—151177113I. Romaniak—137111162
WAug 17 · 15:05S. Rak—911118113I. Romaniak—11881172
S. Rak10
WSep 10 · 20:00S. Rak1.3051112113R. Haiseniuk3.401161071WSep 8 · 11:25S. Rak1.301112113O. Hura3.4081060WSep 8 · 09:25I. Kozachuk2.25117941S. Rak1.5751111113LSep 8 · 07:25I. Romaniak2.751111123S. Rak1.4046100WSep 8 · 06:25S. Rak1.331111113N. Kovalchuk3.255870LSep 8 · 05:25D. Pesternikov1.5011811113S. Rak2.50811461WSep 7 · 18:55S. Rak1.301112113R. Lazebnyi3.4081080LSep 7 · 16:55D. Pesternikov1.501311113S. Rak2.5011550WSep 7 · 14:55I. Romaniak2.634380S. Rak1.441111113LSep 7 · 13:55S. Rak1.67811481D. Shcherbak2.1011711113
I. Romaniak10
LSep 10 · 20:30I. Kozachuk1.731411123I. Romaniak2.00129100WSep 8 · 10:25I. Romaniak2.1011116113I. Kozachuk1.67871181WSep 8 · 08:55I. Romaniak2.75721211113D. Pesternikov1.40111110982WSep 8 · 07:25I. Romaniak2.751111123S. Rak1.4046100LSep 8 · 05:55I. Romaniak1.364990O. Hura3.001111113LSep 8 · 04:25I. Romaniak1.83811121382N. Kovalchuk1.831171411113LSep 7 · 17:55I. Romaniak2.7571050D. Pesternikov1.401112113WSep 7 · 16:25I. Romaniak1.5711811113Y. Kravets2.25811581LSep 7 · 14:55I. Romaniak2.634380S. Rak1.441111113LSep 7 · 13:25I. Romaniak1.8051170R. Lazebnyi1.911113113
Upcoming Matches
S. Rak
I. Romaniak
Sep 10 · 23:30I. Romaniak1.83N. Kovalchuk1.83—Sep 11 · 01:30I. Romaniak1.61R. Haiseniuk2.20—Sep 11 · 03:00I. Romaniak2.00D. Shcherbak1.73—Sep 11 · 12:05I. Romaniak1.83N. Kovalchuk1.83—Sep 11 · 14:05I. Romaniak1.53Y. Kravets2.38—Sep 11 · 16:05I. Romaniak2.00R. Lazebnyi1.73—Sep 11 · 17:35I. Romaniak1.53M. Smyrnov2.38—Sep 11 · 18:35I. Romaniak1.73R. Haiseniuk2.00—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.