TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111392
Played Sep 11Finished
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116117––––
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRuslan Haiseniuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRuslan Lazebnyi above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Ruslan Haiseniuk at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Lazebnyi 4–6 Ruslan Haiseniuk Ruslan Lazebnyi has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:22What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Haiseniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Haiseniuk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lazebnyi 1568 vs Haiseniuk 1555
Lazebnyi
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lazebnyi 40% vs Haiseniuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lazebnyi 30% vs Haiseniuk 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lazebnyi -2 · Haiseniuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Haiseniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLazebnyi 2.00 / Haiseniuk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Haiseniuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111392
Lazebnyi2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 19 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back24% 7 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Haiseniuk1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 140 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it83% 98 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLazebnyi4wins
AwayHaiseniuk6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHaiseniuk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLazebnyi50%3 of 6
AwayHaiseniuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lazebnyi6Haiseniuk4n = 10Lazebnyi took 6 of 10
S2Lazebnyi3Haiseniuk7n = 10Haiseniuk took 7 of 10
S3Lazebnyi6Haiseniuk4n = 10Lazebnyi took 6 of 10
S4Lazebnyi4Haiseniuk4n = 8split evenly
S5Lazebnyi2Haiseniuk3n = 5Haiseniuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLazebnyiHaiseniukL − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.241.9−0.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLazebnyiHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 110 vs 412 / 74149.1%55.6%54 / 110 vs 412 / 741Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HaiseniukLazebnyi 2.00/Haiseniuk 1.73
Miss
What we said
54.1%
Haiseniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lazebnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 09:05R. Lazebnyi—1315127113R. Haiseniuk—1117101152
LSep 4 · 14:05R. Lazebnyi—8117101R. Haiseniuk—11811123
WSep 3 · 22:00R. Lazebnyi—1111113R. Haiseniuk—9670
LAug 29 · 11:35R. Lazebnyi—11851172R. Haiseniuk—811116113
LAug 28 · 16:05R. Lazebnyi—133131172R. Haiseniuk—1111158113
LAug 22 · 07:35R. Lazebnyi—631191R. Haiseniuk—11116113
LAug 21 · 17:05R. Lazebnyi—111071192R. Haiseniuk—912113113
WAug 21 · 03:00R. Lazebnyi—1111133R. Haiseniuk—86110
LAug 15 · 08:05R. Lazebnyi—1271181R. Haiseniuk—14116113
WAug 14 · 17:35R. Lazebnyi—104111293R. Haiseniuk—121181052
R. Lazebnyi10
LSep 11 · 12:35R. Lazebnyi1.57971111112M. Smyrnov2.25111164133LSep 7 · 18:55S. Rak1.301112113R. Lazebnyi3.4081080WSep 7 · 17:25R. Lazebnyi2.7511117113D. Shcherbak1.40671161LSep 7 · 15:25Y. Kravets1.83111188123R. Lazebnyi1.83761111102WSep 7 · 13:25I. Romaniak1.8051170R. Lazebnyi1.911113113LSep 7 · 12:25D. Pesternikov1.301116114113R. Lazebnyi3.4051881182LSep 5 · 11:05R. Lazebnyi2.10431111112N. Kovalchuk1.67111159133WSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113LSep 5 · 08:05R. Lazebnyi2.3810380D. Shcherbak1.531211113LSep 5 · 07:05I. Kozachuk1.67111111123R. Lazebnyi2.108136101
R. Haiseniuk10
WSep 11 · 13:05R. Haiseniuk1.53125613113Y. Kravets2.381011111122LSep 11 · 02:30N. Kovalchuk1.831191211113R. Haiseniuk1.8321114642WSep 11 · 01:30I. Romaniak1.61116961R. Haiseniuk2.2081111113LSep 11 · 24:00I. Kozachuk1.361111113R. Haiseniuk3.009790LSep 10 · 22:00D. Shcherbak1.361111113R. Haiseniuk3.006560LSep 10 · 20:00S. Rak1.3051112113R. Haiseniuk3.401161071LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113
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