TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111433
Played Sep 11Finished
Yaroslav Kravets
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611115119611117
Ivan Romaniak
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeIvan Romaniak to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYaroslav Kravets above · Ivan Romaniak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 88 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Ivan Romaniak at 65.2%
88 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Kravets 4–10 Ivan Romaniak Yaroslav Kravets has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Romaniak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Romaniak
Wrong
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kravets 1597 vs Romaniak 1704
Romaniak
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kravets 40% vs Romaniak 60%
Romaniak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kravets 50% vs Romaniak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kravets -3 · Romaniak +2
Kravets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Romaniak) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKravets 2.50 / Romaniak 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Romaniak)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111433
Kravets2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 70 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Romaniak1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 58 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it85% 45 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKravets2wins
AwayRomaniak8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRomaniak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKravets50%2 of 4
AwayRomaniak100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kravets4Romaniak6n = 10Romaniak took 6 of 10
S2Kravets6Romaniak4n = 10Kravets took 6 of 10
S3Kravets3Romaniak7n = 10Romaniak took 7 of 10
S4Kravets0Romaniak5n = 5Romaniak took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKravetsRomaniakK − RBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.238.3−8.1per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKravetsRomaniakBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 481 vs 237 / 52249.7%45.4%239 / 481 vs 237 / 522Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomaniakKravets 2.50/Romaniak 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Romaniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kravets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 16:25Y. Kravets—811581I. Romaniak—11811113
WAug 7 · 15:35Y. Kravets—1211113I. Romaniak—10870
LJul 3 · 15:35Y. Kravets—101111612I. Romaniak—124811113
WJun 27 · 08:35Y. Kravets—1111113I. Romaniak—9980
LJun 26 · 15:35Y. Kravets—61190I. Romaniak—1113113
LMay 16 · 04:35Y. Kravets—111110572I. Romaniak—881211113
LMay 15 · 15:35Y. Kravets—6730I. Romaniak—1111113
LMay 2 · 05:05Y. Kravets—128731I. Romaniak—101111113
LMay 1 · 15:35Y. Kravets—1217181I. Romaniak—141511113
LApr 18 · 06:05Y. Kravets—5140I. Romaniak—1111113
Y. Kravets10
LSep 11 · 13:05R. Haiseniuk1.53125613113Y. Kravets2.381011111122LSep 7 · 18:25Y. Kravets2.506780D. Shcherbak1.501111113LSep 7 · 16:25I. Romaniak1.5711811113Y. Kravets2.25811581WSep 7 · 15:25Y. Kravets1.83111188123R. Lazebnyi1.83761111102WSep 7 · 14:25D. Pesternikov1.531061171Y. Kravets2.3812117113WSep 4 · 18:35Y. Kravets2.001191183R. Lazebnyi1.73711661WSep 4 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.301159101Y. Kravets3.4041111123WSep 4 · 15:35Y. Kravets1.501113113O. Napirko2.5081170LSep 4 · 14:35N. Hoshko1.501111133Y. Kravets2.5077110LSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113
I. Romaniak10
WSep 11 · 12:05N. Kovalchuk1.838970I. Romaniak1.831111113WSep 11 · 03:00D. Shcherbak1.6711148762I. Romaniak2.102121111113LSep 11 · 01:30I. Romaniak1.61116961R. Haiseniuk2.2081111113WSep 10 · 23:30N. Kovalchuk1.831311119102I. Romaniak1.83155311123LSep 10 · 21:30S. Rak1.441161112113I. Romaniak2.6391171492LSep 10 · 20:30I. Kozachuk1.731411123I. Romaniak2.00129100WSep 8 · 10:25I. Romaniak2.1011116113I. Kozachuk1.67871181WSep 8 · 08:55I. Romaniak2.75721211113D. Pesternikov1.40111110982WSep 8 · 07:25I. Romaniak2.751111123S. Rak1.4046100WSep 7 · 16:25I. Romaniak1.5711811113Y. Kravets2.25811581
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