TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105789
Played Sep 11Finished
Denys Shcherbak
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1121412811711611
Ivan Romaniak
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:35 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDenys Shcherbak to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenys Shcherbak above · Ivan Romaniak below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 93 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Denys Shcherbak at 54.1%
93 points played in total.
H2H Denys Shcherbak 40–35 Ivan Romaniak Ivan Romaniak has won 35 of their 75 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Shcherbak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-35 in 75
Shcherbak
Wrong
gap of 5 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shcherbak 1771 vs Romaniak 1667
Shcherbak
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shcherbak 80% vs Romaniak 40%
Shcherbak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shcherbak 50% vs Romaniak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shcherbak +1 · Romaniak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Shcherbak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShcherbak 1.67 / Romaniak 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Shcherbak)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13105789
Shcherbak1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 154 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it93% 90 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it77% 122 of 158
Romaniak2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 129 of 310
Down 0–1, comes back27% 50 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShcherbak5wins
AwayRomaniak5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShcherbak75%3 of 4
AwayRomaniak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shcherbak4Romaniak6n = 10Romaniak took 6 of 10
S2Shcherbak8Romaniak2n = 10Shcherbak took 8 of 10
S3Shcherbak6Romaniak4n = 10Shcherbak took 6 of 10
S4Shcherbak2Romaniak4n = 6Romaniak took 4 of 6
S5Shcherbak2Romaniak3n = 5Romaniak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricShcherbakRomaniakS − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.038.4−1.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShcherbakRomaniakBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 629 vs 235 / 52052%45.2%327 / 629 vs 235 / 520Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakShcherbak 1.67/Romaniak 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Romaniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 11:55D. Shcherbak—41111632I. Romaniak—117811113
LSep 7 · 03:15D. Shcherbak—9101151I. Romaniak—11126113
WSep 1 · 08:25D. Shcherbak—911185113I. Romaniak—118161172
WAug 31 · 17:25D. Shcherbak—1111113I. Romaniak—7870
LAug 25 · 05:55D. Shcherbak—11117272I. Romaniak—881111113
WAug 24 · 13:25D. Shcherbak—1111113I. Romaniak—6480
LAug 21 · 17:35D. Shcherbak—71141162I. Romaniak—119119103
WAug 21 · 02:30D. Shcherbak—1111123I. Romaniak—77100
LAug 18 · 06:05D. Shcherbak—9860I. Romaniak—1111113
WAug 17 · 12:05D. Shcherbak—2111012113I. Romaniak—118121062
D. Shcherbak10
WSep 11 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.8011911962D. Shcherbak1.91611411113LSep 10 · 23:00S. Rak1.6781211113D. Shcherbak2.101110481WSep 10 · 22:00D. Shcherbak1.361111113R. Haiseniuk3.006560WSep 10 · 21:00N. Kovalchuk2.00101111482D. Shcherbak1.73129311113WSep 7 · 18:25Y. Kravets2.506780D. Shcherbak1.501111113LSep 7 · 17:25R. Lazebnyi2.7511117113D. Shcherbak1.40671161LSep 7 · 15:55D. Pesternikov1.2811118113D. Shcherbak3.50941161WSep 7 · 13:55S. Rak1.67811481D. Shcherbak2.1011711113LSep 7 · 11:55I. Romaniak2.10117811113D. Shcherbak1.6741111632LSep 7 · 03:15D. Shcherbak1.739101151I. Romaniak2.0011126113
I. Romaniak10
LSep 11 · 01:30I. Romaniak1.61116961R. Haiseniuk2.2081111113WSep 10 · 23:30N. Kovalchuk1.831311119102I. Romaniak1.83155311123LSep 10 · 21:30S. Rak1.441161112113I. Romaniak2.6391171492LSep 10 · 20:30I. Kozachuk1.731411123I. Romaniak2.00129100WSep 8 · 10:25I. Romaniak2.1011116113I. Kozachuk1.67871181WSep 8 · 08:55I. Romaniak2.75721211113D. Pesternikov1.40111110982WSep 8 · 07:25I. Romaniak2.751111123S. Rak1.4046100LSep 8 · 05:55I. Romaniak1.364990O. Hura3.001111113WSep 7 · 11:55I. Romaniak2.10117811113D. Shcherbak1.6741111632WSep 7 · 03:15D. Shcherbak1.739101151I. Romaniak2.0011126113
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