TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108532
Played Sep 10Finished
Filip Mandrysz
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711711––––
Radek Zajac
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingFilip Mandrysz above · Radek Zajac below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11
56 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mandrysz 4–1 Radek Zajac Radek Zajac has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Mandrysz beat Zajac 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Mandrysz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajac form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMandrysz 1.25 / Zajac 3.75
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Mandrysz)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13108532
Mandrysz1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 76 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it71% 52 of 73
Zajac3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog26% won 6 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMandrysz4wins
AwayZajac1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMandrysz leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMandryszn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZajac33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mandrysz2Zajac3n = 5Zajac took 3 of 5
S2Mandrysz4Zajac1n = 5Mandrysz took 4 of 5
S3Mandrysz3Zajac2n = 5Mandrysz took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricMandryszZajacM − ZBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match34.630.0+4.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMandryszZajacBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 436 vs 11 / 3550.5%31.4%220 / 436 vs 11 / 35Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MandryszMandrysz 1.25/Zajac 3.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.6%
Mandrysz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zajac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 10 · 08:10F. Mandrysz—61111113R. Zajac—118641
WSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz—1111113R. Zajac—4690
WSep 2 · 11:10F. Mandrysz—511814113R. Zajac—118111262
LAug 14 · 12:38F. Mandrysz—8380R. Zajac—1111113
WAug 14 · 09:40F. Mandrysz—1111113R. Zajac—8490
F. Mandrysz10
WSep 10 · 08:10F. Mandrysz1.3061111113R. Zajac3.40118641WSep 10 · 06:40J. Matus1.61910120F. Mandrysz2.201112143WSep 10 · 06:10T. Slivka2.75115781F. Mandrysz1.4021111113WSep 9 · 08:50J. Sindler1.83311381F. Mandrysz1.8311511113LSep 9 · 08:15J. Matus1.80111198113F. Mandrysz1.9175111142LSep 9 · 07:15F. Mandrysz1.67112881A. Strelec2.1061111113LSep 9 · 05:45J. Sindler1.731111113F. Mandrysz2.002960LSep 7 · 08:44F. Mandrysz1.28910111192T. Slivka3.50111269113WSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133
R. Zajac10
LSep 10 · 08:10F. Mandrysz1.3061111113R. Zajac3.40118641WSep 10 · 07:10R. Zajac2.501112113T. Slivka1.5071090WSep 10 · 05:40J. Matus1.447870R. Zajac2.631111113LSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690LSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 11:10R. Zajac2.38118111262F. Mandrysz1.53511814113LSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962WAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr1.22611781R. Zajac4.0011511113LAug 20 · 16:10D. Stefek1.6112115113R. Zajac2.201061161LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113
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