TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105639
Played Sep 10Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11912108115111311
Lukas Svoboda
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeLukas Svoboda to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Lukas Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 101 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Lukas Svoboda at 54.3%
101 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 15–14 Lukas Svoboda Lukas Svoboda has won 14 of their 29 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Svoboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-14 in 29
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1601 vs Svoboda 1663
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 40% vs Svoboda 20%
Rejent
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 30% vs Svoboda 50%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent +1 · Svoboda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.91 / Svoboda 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svoboda)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13105639
Rejent1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 88 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 68
Svoboda1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 23 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent4wins
AwaySvoboda6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSvoboda leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent60%3 of 5
AwaySvoboda80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent5Svoboda5n = 10split evenly
S2Rejent3Svoboda7n = 10Svoboda took 7 of 10
S3Rejent6Svoboda4n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S4Rejent4Svoboda4n = 8split evenly
S5Rejent2Svoboda3n = 5Svoboda took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentSvobodaR − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.439.6−0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 779 vs 70 / 15646.7%44.9%364 / 779 vs 70 / 156Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaRejent 1.91/Svoboda 1.80
Miss
What we said
54.3%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rejent won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 18:45S. Rejent—471111113L. Svoboda—11113972
LJul 12 · 16:19S. Rejent—119691L. Svoboda—31111113
LJul 12 · 13:45S. Rejent—77111192L. Svoboda—111189113
WJul 7 · 16:43S. Rejent—1191012113L. Svoboda—711121092
LJul 7 · 13:45S. Rejent—91080L. Svoboda—1112113
LJul 6 · 13:45S. Rejent—51111562L. Svoboda—119611113
WFeb 18 · 18:45S. Rejent—1171193L. Svoboda—311831
LSep 6 · 20:13S. Rejent—91411762L. Svoboda—1112911113
WSep 6 · 19:15S. Rejent—1111113L. Svoboda—8550
LAug 16 · 16:11S. Rejent—117971L. Svoboda—81111113
S. Rejent10
WSep 10 · 13:15S. Rejent2.50111146133M. Zelinka1.50741111112LSep 9 · 16:23S. Rejent1.5311991162O. Mezera2.38311119113WSep 9 · 15:15O. Mezera2.259770S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 9 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67711991J. Senk2.1011611113LSep 9 · 13:45S. Rejent1.7378111192M. Myler2.00111156113LSep 8 · 16:19V. Grubr1.91611115113S. Rejent1.8011491182LSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962LSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113WSep 8 · 13:45S. Rejent1.8351111113V. Grubr1.83118681LSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113
L. Svoboda10
LSep 10 · 13:45J. Sr1.6714119113L. Svoboda2.101291151WSep 9 · 12:19L. Dobias1.5381410131L. Svoboda2.38111212153LSep 9 · 11:15L. Svoboda1.80114471M. Stibor1.9161111113LSep 9 · 10:15L. Svoboda2.25107111182M. Zelinka1.57121196113LSep 9 · 09:15L. Svoboda2.381277101L. Dobias1.53101111123WAug 31 · 16:49V. Grubr2.388880L. Svoboda1.531111113WAug 31 · 15:15L. Svoboda1.5791111113O. Mezera2.25119561WAug 31 · 14:15L. Svoboda1.8312116123A. Radkovsky1.8310511101WAug 31 · 13:15L. Svoboda1.611111113V. Grubr2.207780LAug 15 · 08:50L. Svoboda2.38129771J. Chalupa1.53101111113
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