TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105189
Played Sep 9Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
113911911119611
Ondrej Mezera
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Ondrej Mezera below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 91 set 5, 6-11
91 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 19–14 Ondrej Mezera Ondrej Mezera has won 14 of their 33 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Rejent beat Mezera 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mezera form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.53 / Mezera 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Rejent)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13105189
Rejent1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 85 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 59 of 81
Mezera2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 117 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back32% 47 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back17% 13 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent6wins
AwayMezera4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRejent leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent71.4%5 of 7
AwayMezera66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent7Mezera3n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10
S2Rejent4Mezera6n = 10Mezera took 6 of 10
S3Rejent6Mezera4n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S4Rejent3Mezera4n = 7Mezera took 4 of 7
S5Rejent2Mezera1n = 3Rejent took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentMezeraR − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.937.5+2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentMezeraBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 777 vs 409 / 81846.7%50%363 / 777 vs 409 / 818Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.840.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentRejent 1.53/Mezera 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mezera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 15:15S. Rejent—1111113O. Mezera—9770
LSep 8 · 15:15S. Rejent—11911962O. Mezera—911911113
LSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent—71590O. Mezera—1117113
WSep 7 · 14:15S. Rejent—1111113O. Mezera—7490
WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent—1191111113O. Mezera—91141342
LAug 26 · 16:14S. Rejent—1187151O. Mezera—81111173
LAug 26 · 14:15S. Rejent—911871O. Mezera—11811113
WAug 24 · 16:49S. Rejent—11113113O. Mezera—681171
WAug 24 · 13:45S. Rejent—13811113O. Mezera—1111651
WAug 19 · 16:19S. Rejent—771112113O. Mezera—111171092
S. Rejent10
WSep 9 · 15:15O. Mezera2.259770S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 9 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67711991J. Senk2.1011611113LSep 9 · 13:45S. Rejent1.7378111192M. Myler2.00111156113LSep 8 · 16:19V. Grubr1.91611115113S. Rejent1.8011491182LSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962LSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113WSep 8 · 13:45S. Rejent1.8351111113V. Grubr1.83118681LSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113LSep 7 · 15:45S. Rejent1.6711911892M. Makara2.10911611113WSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113
O. Mezera10
LSep 9 · 15:15O. Mezera2.259770S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 9 · 14:15O. Mezera1.83115101182M. Myler1.83811127113LSep 9 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0091271192J. Senk1.731110115113LSep 8 · 16:49J. Senk1.8011711113O. Mezera1.91711281WSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962WSep 8 · 14:15O. Mezera2.20117118113V. Grubr1.6171161182LSep 8 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0071110101J. Senk1.7311312123WSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113WSep 7 · 15:15O. Mezera1.831110116113M. Myler1.8391291182LSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113
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