TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094709
Played Sep 8Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511118116118––
Vojtech Grubr
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Grubr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Vojtech Grubr below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Vojtech Grubr at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 16–17 Vojtech Grubr Stepan Rejent has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:58What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Grubr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-17 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1628 vs Grubr 1617
Rejent
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 20% vs Grubr 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 30% vs Grubr 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent -2 · Grubr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rejent) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grubr form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.83 / Grubr 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rejent)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13094709
Rejent1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Grubr1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent4wins
AwayGrubr6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGrubr leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent40%2 of 5
AwayGrubr60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent5Grubr5n = 10split evenly
S2Rejent6Grubr4n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S3Rejent4Grubr6n = 10Grubr took 6 of 10
S4Rejent5Grubr4n = 9Rejent took 5 of 9
S5Rejent1Grubr3n = 4Grubr took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentGrubrR − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.443.0−0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentGrubrBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 770 vs 232 / 46646.9%49.8%361 / 770 vs 232 / 466Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.840.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentRejent 1.83/Grubr 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rejent won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 15:15S. Rejent—71113123V. Grubr—11811101
WAug 19 · 14:45S. Rejent—1111193V. Grubr—87170
WAug 18 · 20:13S. Rejent—811511113V. Grubr—11611992
LAug 18 · 19:15S. Rejent—1410681V. Grubr—121211113
LJun 18 · 17:45S. Rejent—9121361V. Grubr—111015113
LJun 4 · 19:45S. Rejent—51171142V. Grubr—115114113
WApr 23 · 15:45S. Rejent—111011113V. Grubr—612961
LApr 20 · 15:15S. Rejent—129991V. Grubr—101111113
LMar 24 · 22:08S. Rejent—111011692V. Grubr—612911113
LMar 24 · 21:00S. Rejent—81391182V. Grubr—1111118113
S. Rejent10
LSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113LSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113LSep 7 · 15:45S. Rejent1.6711911892M. Makara2.10911611113WSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113
V. Grubr10
LSep 8 · 14:15O. Mezera2.20117118113V. Grubr1.6171161182LSep 8 · 08:48V. Grubr2.25711671L. Heinzl1.5711511113WSep 8 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.611011871V. Grubr2.2012711113LSep 8 · 06:45L. Dobias1.501111123V. Grubr2.5089100LSep 8 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.531111113V. Grubr2.387970LSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972LSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113WSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123
Upcoming Matches
S. Rejent
Nothing scheduled
V. Grubr
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