TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13093873
Played Sep 7Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111517911––––
Ondrej Mezera
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Ondrej Mezera below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 70 set 3, 9-11
70 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 18–12 Ondrej Mezera Ondrej Mezera has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Rejent beat Mezera 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mezera form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.50 / Mezera 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Rejent)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13093873
Rejent1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 83 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 58 of 76
Mezera2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 116 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back31% 46 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back17% 13 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent6wins
AwayMezera4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRejent leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent62.5%5 of 8
AwayMezeran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent8Mezera2n = 10Rejent took 8 of 10
S2Rejent5Mezera5n = 10split evenly
S3Rejent5Mezera5n = 10split evenly
S4Rejent4Mezera5n = 9Mezera took 5 of 9
S5Rejent2Mezera2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentMezeraR − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.138.6+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentMezeraBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 769 vs 408 / 81446.9%50.1%361 / 769 vs 408 / 814Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.840.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentRejent 1.50/Mezera 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mezera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 14:15S. Rejent—1111113O. Mezera—7490
WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent—1191111113O. Mezera—91141342
LAug 26 · 16:14S. Rejent—1187151O. Mezera—81111173
LAug 26 · 14:15S. Rejent—911871O. Mezera—11811113
WAug 24 · 16:49S. Rejent—11113113O. Mezera—681171
WAug 24 · 13:45S. Rejent—13811113O. Mezera—1111651
WAug 19 · 16:19S. Rejent—771112113O. Mezera—111171092
LAug 19 · 15:15S. Rejent—11118772O. Mezera—451111113
LAug 11 · 15:15S. Rejent—118118102O. Mezera—911911123
WAug 10 · 14:15S. Rejent—11126113O. Mezera—4101151
S. Rejent10
LSep 7 · 15:45S. Rejent1.6711911892M. Makara2.10911611113WSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123
O. Mezera10
WSep 7 · 15:15O. Mezera1.831110116113M. Myler1.8391291182LSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:15O. Mezera2.38811611102M. Makara1.53114115123LSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113LSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113LSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153LSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342
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