TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088674
Played Sep 7Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119911116811911
Michal Makara
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:10 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeStepan Rejent to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 96 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Stepan Rejent at 56.2%
96 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 51–36 Michal Makara Michal Makara has won 36 of their 87 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:10What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rejent
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-36 in 87
Rejent
Wrong
gap of 15 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1654 vs Makara 1660
Makara
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 20% vs Makara 40%
Makara
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 40% vs Makara 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent +1 · Makara -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rejent form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.67 / Makara 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Rejent)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088674
Rejent1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 83 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 58 of 76
Makara2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 174 of 379
Down 0–1, comes back25% 48 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent7wins
AwayMakara3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRejent leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent80%4 of 5
AwayMakara40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent5Makara5n = 10split evenly
S2Rejent8Makara2n = 10Rejent took 8 of 10
S3Rejent6Makara4n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S4Rejent3Makara3n = 6split evenly
S5Rejent2Makara1n = 3Rejent took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentMakaraR − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.934.5+4.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 768 vs 498 / 103747%48%361 / 768 vs 498 / 1037Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentRejent 1.67/Makara 2.10
Miss
What we said
56.2%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Makara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 14:15S. Rejent—41311113M. Makara—1111661
WAug 23 · 13:15S. Rejent—1111113M. Makara—8590
WAug 16 · 18:45S. Rejent—71111113M. Makara—118731
WAug 11 · 13:15S. Rejent—11111111113M. Makara—69131362
LJul 28 · 15:45S. Rejent—11713662M. Makara—7111111113
LJul 6 · 16:49S. Rejent—1011971M. Makara—12211113
WJul 6 · 15:45S. Rejent—8121111113M. Makara—111013982
WJul 5 · 19:15S. Rejent—1111113M. Makara—4580
LJun 19 · 15:00S. Rejent—9950M. Makara—1111113
WJun 14 · 15:30S. Rejent—1111113M. Makara—9970
S. Rejent10
LSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113WSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123
M. Makara10
LSep 7 · 14:45M. Myler2.10111110113M. Makara1.67681291WSep 7 · 13:15O. Mezera2.38811611102M. Makara1.53114115123WSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113LSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692LSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100WSep 3 · 08:14L. Heinzl1.6781181182M. Makara2.10116113113LSep 3 · 07:15L. Adam1.731151211113M. Makara2.0091114772LSep 3 · 06:45M. Makara2.6311970M. Stibor1.441311113LSep 3 · 05:45M. Makara2.201131191L. Heinzl1.6113119113
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