TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089235
Played Sep 7Finished
Matej Myler
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161181012119––
Michal Makara
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Myler to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Myler above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Matej Myler at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Matej Myler 1–1 Michal Makara Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:42What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Makara
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Myler 1656 vs Makara 1672
Makara
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myler 80% vs Makara 40%
Myler
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myler 60% vs Makara 30%
Myler
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Myler +2 · Makara +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Makara) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makara form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyler 2.10 / Makara 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Makara)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13089235
Myler2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 4 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Makara1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 44 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it68% 32 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMyler1wins
AwayMakara1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMylerMakaraMyler − MakaraBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match41.043.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMylerMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime24 / 53 vs 498 / 103645.3%48.1%24 / 53 vs 498 / 1036Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakaraMyler 2.10/Makara 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Makara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Myler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LApr 9 · 14:45M. Myler—7111091M. Makara—11912113
WFeb 27 · 18:15M. Myler—661111113M. Makara—11117952
M. Myler10
LSep 7 · 15:15O. Mezera1.831110116113M. Myler1.8391291182WSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871WAug 27 · 12:18M. Myler2.201111123Z. Vasatko1.6194100LAug 27 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.101211113M. Myler1.6710920WAug 27 · 10:45M. Myler1.5711911173L. Kolman2.259119151WAug 27 · 09:45M. Myler1.531114133T. Hucko2.38512110LAug 26 · 16:44R. Pisa1.361111133M. Myler3.0079110WAug 26 · 15:15O. Mezera1.50711851M. Myler2.5011811113LAug 26 · 14:45M. Myler2.75117961R. Pisa1.4071111113LAug 26 · 13:45M. Myler2.2091161152S. Rejent1.61118119113
M. Makara10
WSep 7 · 13:15O. Mezera2.38811611102M. Makara1.53114115123WSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113LSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692LSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100WSep 3 · 08:14L. Heinzl1.6781181182M. Makara2.10116113113LSep 3 · 07:15L. Adam1.731151211113M. Makara2.0091114772LSep 3 · 06:45M. Makara2.6311970M. Stibor1.441311113LSep 3 · 05:45M. Makara2.201131191L. Heinzl1.6113119113LSep 1 · 08:21M. Makara2.7551211472M. Kocvara1.401110911113
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