TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023214
Played Aug 27Finished
Matej Myler
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1199111191715––
Leon Kolman
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMatej Myler to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Myler above · Leon Kolman below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 17-15
Point 92 set 4, 17-15 — our read held Matej Myler at 58.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Matej Myler 2–0 Leon Kolman Leon Kolman has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:03What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Myler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Myler 1638 vs Kolman 1665
Kolman
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myler 40% vs Kolman 80%
Kolman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myler 60% vs Kolman 80%
Kolman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Myler +1 · Kolman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Myler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyler 1.57 / Kolman 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Myler)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13023214
Myler1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 9 of 16
Kolman2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 67 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back24% 18 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMyler2wins
AwayKolman0wins
Myler leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMylerKolmanM − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match44.037.5+6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMylerKolmanBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 50 vs 355 / 66944%53.1%22 / 50 vs 355 / 669Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MylerMyler 1.57/Kolman 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Myler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Myler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 27 · 10:45M. Myler—11911173L. Kolman—9119151
WAug 12 · 09:45M. Myler—11117113L. Kolman—771161
M. Myler10
LSep 7 · 15:15O. Mezera1.831110116113M. Myler1.8391291182WSep 7 · 14:45M. Myler2.10111110113M. Makara1.67681291WSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871WAug 27 · 12:18M. Myler2.201111123Z. Vasatko1.6194100LAug 27 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.101211113M. Myler1.6710920WAug 27 · 09:45M. Myler1.531114133T. Hucko2.38512110LAug 26 · 16:44R. Pisa1.361111133M. Myler3.0079110WAug 26 · 15:15O. Mezera1.50711851M. Myler2.5011811113LAug 26 · 14:45M. Myler2.75117961R. Pisa1.4071111113LAug 26 · 13:45M. Myler2.2091161152S. Rejent1.61118119113
L. Kolman10
WSep 7 · 12:58L. Kolman1.40111111113Z. Vasatko2.75913691WSep 7 · 12:00Z. Vasatko2.004980L. Kolman1.731111113WSep 7 · 10:58M. Bruk1.834470L. Kolman1.831111113WSep 7 · 09:30M. Svitac1.67913111192L. Kolman2.10111595113WSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252LSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103LSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741
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