TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089422
Played Sep 7Finished
Ondrej Mezera
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191012119611118
Matej Myler
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:30 and never touched — 71.4% is still 71.4%
Graded at full timeMatej Myler to win
71.4%
71.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Mezera above · Matej Myler below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 98 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Matej Myler at 71.4%
98 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Mezera 0–1 Matej Myler Ondrej Mezera has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:30What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Myler
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mezera 1583 vs Myler 1668
Myler
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mezera 0% vs Myler 80%
Myler
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mezera 30% vs Myler 60%
Myler
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mezera -5 · Myler +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Myler) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Myler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMezera 1.83 / Myler 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Myler)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089422
Mezera1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Myler1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMezera0wins
AwayMyler1wins
Myler leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMezeraMylerMezera − MylerBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match31.041.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMezeraMylerBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 813 vs 25 / 5450.1%46.3%407 / 813 vs 25 / 54Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MylerMezera 1.83/Myler 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Myler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mezera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 26 · 15:15O. Mezera—711851M. Myler—11811113
O. Mezera10
WSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113LSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:15O. Mezera2.38811611102M. Makara1.53114115123LSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113LSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113LSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102
M. Myler10
WSep 7 · 14:45M. Myler2.10111110113M. Makara1.67681291WSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871WAug 27 · 12:18M. Myler2.201111123Z. Vasatko1.6194100LAug 27 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.101211113M. Myler1.6710920WAug 27 · 10:45M. Myler1.5711911173L. Kolman2.259119151WAug 27 · 09:45M. Myler1.531114133T. Hucko2.38512110LAug 26 · 16:44R. Pisa1.361111133M. Myler3.0079110WAug 26 · 15:15O. Mezera1.50711851M. Myler2.5011811113LAug 26 · 14:45M. Myler2.75117961R. Pisa1.4071111113LAug 26 · 13:45M. Myler2.2091161152S. Rejent1.61118119113
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