TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088670
Played Sep 7Finished
Matej Myler
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1214118118117––
Stepan Rejent
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeStepan Rejent to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMatej Myler above · Stepan Rejent below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 82 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Stepan Rejent at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Matej Myler 4–10 Stepan Rejent Matej Myler has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:12What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rejent
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Rejent
Wrong
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myler 1644 vs Rejent 1654
Rejent
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myler 60% vs Rejent 20%
Myler
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myler 60% vs Rejent 40%
Myler
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Myler +1 · Rejent -3
Rejent
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rejent form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyler 2.00 / Rejent 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rejent)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13088670
Myler2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 4 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Rejent1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 83 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 58 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMyler1wins
AwayRejent9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRejent leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMylern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayRejent87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myler2Rejent8n = 10Rejent took 8 of 10
S2Myler4Rejent6n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S3Myler4Rejent6n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S4Myler3Rejent5n = 8Rejent took 5 of 8
S5Myler0Rejent3n = 3Rejent took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMylerRejentM − RBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.443.0−5.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMylerRejentBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 52 vs 363 / 77044.2%47.1%23 / 52 vs 363 / 770Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentMyler 2.00/Rejent 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Myler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 13:45M. Myler—91161152S. Rejent—118119113
LApr 9 · 13:45M. Myler—11912101S. Rejent—51114123
LDec 16 · 17:33M. Myler—77111582S. Rejent—1111913113
LDec 16 · 15:30M. Myler—1210113122S. Rejent—1012911143
LMay 24 · 09:45M. Myler—7117101S. Rejent—11911113
LMay 22 · 13:45M. Myler—610110S. Rejent—1112133
LMay 1 · 16:15M. Myler—811591S. Rejent—11711103
WMay 1 · 14:45M. Myler—71111123S. Rejent—1176101
LMar 6 · 21:45M. Myler—561161S. Rejent—11116113
LMar 6 · 20:45M. Myler—81390S. Rejent—1115113
M. Myler10
WSep 7 · 14:45M. Myler2.10111110113M. Makara1.67681291WAug 27 · 12:18M. Myler2.201111123Z. Vasatko1.6194100LAug 27 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.101211113M. Myler1.6710920WAug 27 · 10:45M. Myler1.5711911173L. Kolman2.259119151WAug 27 · 09:45M. Myler1.531114133T. Hucko2.38512110LAug 26 · 16:44R. Pisa1.361111133M. Myler3.0079110WAug 26 · 15:15O. Mezera1.50711851M. Myler2.5011811113LAug 26 · 14:45M. Myler2.75117961R. Pisa1.4071111113LAug 26 · 13:45M. Myler2.2091161152S. Rejent1.61118119113WAug 12 · 12:43M. Svitac2.25116981M. Myler1.5751111113
S. Rejent10
WSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123LSep 3 · 13:45J. Sr1.441111113S. Rejent2.635960WAug 26 · 13:45M. Myler2.2091161152S. Rejent1.61118119113
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