TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13014911
Played Aug 26Finished
Matej Myler
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118611119511
Stepan Rejent
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeStepan Rejent to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Myler above · Stepan Rejent below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 92 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Stepan Rejent at 61.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Matej Myler 4–10 Stepan Rejent Matej Myler has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:14What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Rejent
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Rejent
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myler 1579 vs Rejent 1699
Rejent
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myler 80% vs Rejent 60%
Myler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myler 70% vs Rejent 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Myler +4 · Rejent -1
Myler
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rejent) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Myler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyler 2.20 / Rejent 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Rejent)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13014911
Myler2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 3 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Rejent1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 85 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it75% 58 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMyler1wins
AwayRejent9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRejent leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMylern = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayRejent87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myler2Rejent8n = 10Rejent took 8 of 10
S2Myler4Rejent6n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S3Myler4Rejent6n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S4Myler3Rejent5n = 8Rejent took 5 of 8
S5Myler0Rejent3n = 3Rejent took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMylerRejentM − RBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.443.0−5.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMylerRejentBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 45 vs 370 / 78242.2%47.3%19 / 45 vs 370 / 782Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentMyler 2.20/Rejent 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rejent won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 13:45M. Myler—91161152S. Rejent—118119113
LApr 9 · 13:45M. Myler—11912101S. Rejent—51114123
LDec 16 · 17:33M. Myler—77111582S. Rejent—1111913113
LDec 16 · 15:30M. Myler—1210113122S. Rejent—1012911143
LMay 24 · 09:45M. Myler—7117101S. Rejent—11911113
LMay 22 · 13:45M. Myler—610110S. Rejent—1112133
LMay 1 · 16:15M. Myler—811591S. Rejent—11711103
WMay 1 · 14:45M. Myler—71111123S. Rejent—1176101
LMar 6 · 21:45M. Myler—561161S. Rejent—11116113
LMar 6 · 20:45M. Myler—81390S. Rejent—1115113
M. Myler10
LSep 7 · 15:15O. Mezera1.831110116113M. Myler1.8391291182WSep 7 · 14:45M. Myler2.10111110113M. Makara1.67681291WSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871WAug 27 · 12:18M. Myler2.201111123Z. Vasatko1.6194100LAug 27 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.101211113M. Myler1.6710920WAug 27 · 10:45M. Myler1.5711911173L. Kolman2.259119151WAug 27 · 09:45M. Myler1.531114133T. Hucko2.38512110LAug 26 · 16:44R. Pisa1.361111133M. Myler3.0079110WAug 26 · 15:15O. Mezera1.50711851M. Myler2.5011811113LAug 26 · 14:45M. Myler2.75117961R. Pisa1.4071111113
S. Rejent10
WSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123LSep 3 · 13:45J. Sr1.441111113S. Rejent2.635960
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