TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089224
Played Sep 7Finished
Ondrej Mezera
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711411911––––
Stepan Rejent
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:30 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeStepan Rejent to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Mezera above · Stepan Rejent below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Stepan Rejent at 59.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Mezera 12–17 Stepan Rejent Ondrej Mezera has won 12 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:30What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Rejent
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-17 in 29
Rejent
Correct
gap of 5 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mezera 1595 vs Rejent 1642
Rejent
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mezera 0% vs Rejent 20%
Rejent
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mezera 30% vs Rejent 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mezera -5 · Rejent -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rejent form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMezera 2.25 / Rejent 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Rejent)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089224
Mezera2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 116 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back31% 46 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back17% 13 of 78
Rejent1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 83 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 58 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMezera4wins
AwayRejent6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRejent leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMezera33.3%1 of 3
AwayRejent57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mezera3Rejent7n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10
S2Mezera5Rejent5n = 10split evenly
S3Mezera6Rejent4n = 10Mezera took 6 of 10
S4Mezera5Rejent5n = 10split evenly
S5Mezera2Rejent3n = 5Rejent took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMezeraRejentM − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.643.5−2.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMezeraRejentBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 812 vs 360 / 76750.1%46.9%407 / 812 vs 360 / 767Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentMezera 2.25/Rejent 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rejent won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 15:45O. Mezera—91141342S. Rejent—1191111113
WAug 26 · 16:14O. Mezera—81111173S. Rejent—1187151
WAug 26 · 14:15O. Mezera—11811113S. Rejent—911871
LAug 24 · 16:49O. Mezera—681171S. Rejent—11113113
LAug 24 · 13:45O. Mezera—1111651S. Rejent—13811113
LAug 19 · 16:19O. Mezera—111171092S. Rejent—771112113
WAug 19 · 15:15O. Mezera—451111113S. Rejent—11118772
WAug 11 · 15:15O. Mezera—911911123S. Rejent—118118102
LAug 10 · 14:15O. Mezera—4101151S. Rejent—11126113
LJul 29 · 16:13O. Mezera—11711832S. Rejent—611811113
O. Mezera10
LSep 7 · 13:15O. Mezera2.38811611102M. Makara1.53114115123LSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113LSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113LSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 3 · 16:18O. Mezera2.7531111552J. Sr1.40116911113
S. Rejent10
LSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123LSep 3 · 13:45J. Sr1.441111113S. Rejent2.635960LSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732
Upcoming Matches
O. Mezera
Nothing scheduled
S. Rejent
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