TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094643
Played Sep 8Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111181210811511
Jakub Senk
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeStepan Rejent to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Jakub Senk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 96 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Stepan Rejent at 59.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 7–4 Jakub Senk Jakub Senk has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rejent
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Rejent
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1639 vs Senk 1554
Rejent
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 40% vs Senk 20%
Rejent
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 30% vs Senk 10%
Rejent
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent +1 · Senk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senk form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.67 / Senk 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Rejent)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094643
Rejent1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 84 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 59 of 79
Senk2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog46% won 25 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back42% 14 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back24% 4 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent6wins
AwaySenk4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRejent leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent66.7%4 of 6
AwaySenk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent6Senk4n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S2Rejent5Senk5n = 10split evenly
S3Rejent7Senk3n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10
S4Rejent3Senk6n = 9Senk took 6 of 9
S5Rejent3Senk2n = 5Rejent took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentSenkR − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.341.1+1.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentSenkBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 771 vs 148 / 28647%51.8%362 / 771 vs 148 / 286Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentRejent 1.67/Senk 2.10
Miss
What we said
59%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Senk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 13:45S. Rejent—811812123J. Senk—1191110102
LMay 23 · 09:30S. Rejent—117119122J. Senk—511411143
WMay 16 · 10:45S. Rejent—141111113J. Senk—166761
WMay 10 · 12:58S. Rejent—111011113J. Senk—612581
LMay 10 · 09:30S. Rejent—911881J. Senk—11711113
WApr 28 · 15:45S. Rejent—1111133J. Senk—64110
WDec 30 · 17:24S. Rejent—124134113J. Senk—1011111192
WDec 30 · 14:30S. Rejent—117119113J. Senk—91171182
LDec 17 · 15:15S. Rejent—11114762J. Senk—961111113
LOct 31 · 17:36S. Rejent—351291J. Senk—111110103
S. Rejent10
LSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962WSep 8 · 13:45S. Rejent1.8351111113V. Grubr1.83118681LSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113LSep 7 · 15:45S. Rejent1.6711911892M. Makara2.10911611113WSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132
J. Senk10
LSep 8 · 15:45V. Grubr1.7351211113J. Senk2.001110791WSep 8 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0071110101J. Senk1.7311312123LSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890LSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 4 · 08:19J. Senk2.107960P. Fencl1.671111113LSep 4 · 07:15P. Fencl1.7311811113J. Senk2.00911781LSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113LSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113
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