TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094732
Played Sep 8Finished
Vojtech Grubr
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111210117119––
Jakub Senk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeVojtech Grubr to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Grubr above · Jakub Senk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Vojtech Grubr at 56.9%
76 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Grubr 5–4 Jakub Senk Jakub Senk has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Grubr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grubr 1595 vs Senk 1567
Grubr
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grubr 20% vs Senk 40%
Senk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grubr 20% vs Senk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grubr -3 · Senk +2
Grubr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Grubr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grubr form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrubr 1.73 / Senk 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Grubr)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094732
Grubr1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 36 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it69% 22 of 32
Senk2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 25 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back42% 14 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back24% 4 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeGrubr5wins
AwaySenk4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderGrubr leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrubr66.7%4 of 6
AwaySenk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grubr6Senk3n = 9Grubr took 6 of 9
S2Grubr5Senk4n = 9Grubr took 5 of 9
S3Grubr3Senk6n = 9Senk took 6 of 9
S4Grubr6Senk3n = 9Grubr took 6 of 9
S5Grubr1Senk2n = 3Senk took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricGrubrSenkG − SBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match41.238.6+2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrubrSenkBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 468 vs 149 / 28749.6%51.9%232 / 468 vs 149 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrubrGrubr 1.73/Senk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Grubr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Grubr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 19 · 16:49V. Grubr—101171132J. Senk—127118113
LAug 19 · 15:45V. Grubr—1188111J. Senk—71111133
WMay 25 · 09:08V. Grubr—91111113J. Senk—111531
WMay 25 · 08:00V. Grubr—1151111113J. Senk—91113692
WMay 18 · 16:53V. Grubr—11311113J. Senk—211881
LMay 18 · 15:45V. Grubr—15117782J. Senk—1371111113
WDec 3 · 10:45V. Grubr—11116113J. Senk—371151
LNov 12 · 13:52V. Grubr—891271J. Senk—111110113
WNov 12 · 12:45V. Grubr—11126123J. Senk—61011101
V. Grubr10
WSep 8 · 16:19V. Grubr1.91611115113S. Rejent1.8011491182LSep 8 · 14:15O. Mezera2.20117118113V. Grubr1.6171161182LSep 8 · 13:45S. Rejent1.8351111113V. Grubr1.83118681LSep 8 · 08:48V. Grubr2.25711671L. Heinzl1.5711511113WSep 8 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.611011871V. Grubr2.2012711113LSep 8 · 06:45L. Dobias1.501111123V. Grubr2.5089100LSep 8 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.531111113V. Grubr2.387970LSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972
J. Senk10
WSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113WSep 8 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0071110101J. Senk1.7311312123LSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890LSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 4 · 08:19J. Senk2.107960P. Fencl1.671111113LSep 4 · 07:15P. Fencl1.7311811113J. Senk2.00911781LSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113LSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113
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