TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099634
Played Sep 8Finished
Vojtech Grubr
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611114119511118
Stepan Rejent
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingVojtech Grubr above · Stepan Rejent below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 87 set 5, 11-8
87 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Grubr 17–17 Stepan Rejent Dead even across their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Rejent beat Grubr 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rejent form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrubr 1.91 / Rejent 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rejent)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13099634
Grubr1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 65 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 46
Rejent1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 84 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 59 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrubr5wins
AwayRejent5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrubr40%2 of 5
AwayRejent40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grubr5Rejent5n = 10split evenly
S2Grubr4Rejent6n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S3Grubr5Rejent5n = 10split evenly
S4Grubr4Rejent5n = 9Rejent took 5 of 9
S5Grubr2Rejent1n = 3Grubr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrubrRejentG − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.141.3−0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrubrRejentBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 469 vs 362 / 77349.7%46.8%233 / 469 vs 362 / 773Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentGrubr 1.91/Rejent 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Grubr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 13:45V. Grubr—118681S. Rejent—51111113
LAug 25 · 15:15V. Grubr—11811101S. Rejent—71113123
LAug 19 · 14:45V. Grubr—87170S. Rejent—1111193
LAug 18 · 20:13V. Grubr—11611992S. Rejent—811511113
WAug 18 · 19:15V. Grubr—121211113S. Rejent—1410681
WJun 18 · 17:45V. Grubr—111015113S. Rejent—9121361
WJun 4 · 19:45V. Grubr—115114113S. Rejent—51171142
LApr 23 · 15:45V. Grubr—612961S. Rejent—111011113
WApr 20 · 15:15V. Grubr—101111113S. Rejent—129991
WMar 24 · 22:08V. Grubr—612911113S. Rejent—111011692
V. Grubr10
WSep 8 · 15:45V. Grubr1.7351211113J. Senk2.001110791LSep 8 · 14:15O. Mezera2.20117118113V. Grubr1.6171161182LSep 8 · 13:45S. Rejent1.8351111113V. Grubr1.83118681LSep 8 · 08:48V. Grubr2.25711671L. Heinzl1.5711511113WSep 8 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.611011871V. Grubr2.2012711113LSep 8 · 06:45L. Dobias1.501111123V. Grubr2.5089100LSep 8 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.531111113V. Grubr2.387970LSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972
S. Rejent10
LSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962LSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113WSep 8 · 13:45S. Rejent1.8351111113V. Grubr1.83118681LSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113LSep 7 · 15:45S. Rejent1.6711911892M. Makara2.10911611113WSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113
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