TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13097851
Played Sep 8Finished
Vojtech Grubr
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711115611711––
Lukas Heinzl
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingVojtech Grubr above · Lukas Heinzl below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11
69 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Grubr 8–12 Lukas Heinzl Vojtech Grubr has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Grubr beat Heinzl 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Heinzl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heinzl form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrubr 2.25 / Heinzl 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Heinzl)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13097851
Grubr2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 65 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 46
Heinzl1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 158 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it95% 74 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it77% 115 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrubr4wins
AwayHeinzl6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHeinzl leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrubr100%3 of 3
AwayHeinzl85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grubr3Heinzl7n = 10Heinzl took 7 of 10
S2Grubr4Heinzl6n = 10Heinzl took 6 of 10
S3Grubr6Heinzl4n = 10Grubr took 6 of 10
S4Grubr5Heinzl3n = 8Grubr took 5 of 8
S5Grubr1Heinzl2n = 3Heinzl took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrubrHeinzlG − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.839.5+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrubrHeinzlBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 465 vs 356 / 65249.9%54.6%232 / 465 vs 356 / 652Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeinzlGrubr 2.25/Heinzl 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Heinzl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Heinzl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 07:45V. Grubr—12711113L. Heinzl—1011871
LJun 15 · 17:45V. Grubr—12111071L. Heinzl—14412113
LMay 21 · 20:18V. Grubr—7980L. Heinzl—1111113
WMay 21 · 19:15V. Grubr—118811113L. Heinzl—51111372
WMay 12 · 11:45V. Grubr—91111113L. Heinzl—118971
LMay 11 · 07:00V. Grubr—811971L. Heinzl—11611113
LMay 5 · 07:15V. Grubr—11121191L. Heinzl—13147113
WApr 15 · 19:15V. Grubr—1111113L. Heinzl—7680
LApr 10 · 05:15V. Grubr—128121292L. Heinzl—14111010113
LApr 9 · 19:00V. Grubr—107121182L. Heinzl—1211108113
V. Grubr10
WSep 8 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.611011871V. Grubr2.2012711113LSep 8 · 06:45L. Dobias1.501111123V. Grubr2.5089100LSep 8 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.531111113V. Grubr2.387970LSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972LSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113WSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:15V. Grubr1.67611511113A. Radkovsky2.1011611792LSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123
L. Heinzl10
LSep 8 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.611011871V. Grubr2.2012711113WSep 8 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.835980L. Heinzl1.831111113LSep 8 · 05:45L. Dobias1.53111111113L. Heinzl2.38139771LSep 7 · 08:49M. Zelinka1.8311812113L. Heinzl1.839111091LSep 7 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.83551691M. Zelinka1.83111114113WSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113LSep 7 · 05:45L. Veigl2.50111111113L. Heinzl1.50781361LSep 3 · 08:14L. Heinzl1.6781181182M. Makara2.10116113113LSep 3 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.7381380M. Stibor2.001115113LSep 3 · 06:15L. Adam2.0091111113L. Heinzl1.73113791
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