TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095241
Played Sep 8Finished
Ondrej Mezera
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117711116811118
Vojtech Grubr
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:19 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeVojtech Grubr to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Mezera above · Vojtech Grubr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 91 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Vojtech Grubr at 57.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Mezera 4–4 Vojtech Grubr Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Grubr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mezera 1598 vs Grubr 1605
Grubr
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mezera 40% vs Grubr 20%
Mezera
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mezera 20% vs Grubr 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mezera -1 · Grubr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Grubr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grubr form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMezera 2.20 / Grubr 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Grubr)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13095241
Mezera2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 115 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back31% 46 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back17% 13 of 78
Grubr1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 36 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it69% 22 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMezera4wins
AwayGrubr4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMezera50%3 of 6
AwayGrubrn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mezera6Grubr2n = 8Mezera took 6 of 8
S2Mezera3Grubr5n = 8Grubr took 5 of 8
S3Mezera2Grubr6n = 8Grubr took 6 of 8
S4Mezera4Grubr2n = 6Mezera took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricMezeraGrubrM − GBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match36.838.0−1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMezeraGrubrBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 816 vs 232 / 46750.1%49.7%409 / 816 vs 232 / 467Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.840.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrubrMezera 2.20/Grubr 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Grubr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mezera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 31 · 14:45O. Mezera—10680V. Grubr—1211113
WAug 19 · 13:15O. Mezera—11119113V. Grubr—991191
LMay 18 · 13:15O. Mezera—11071182V. Grubr—911119113
LDec 2 · 08:15O. Mezera—118481V. Grubr—91111113
WNov 20 · 09:00O. Mezera—11612103V. Grubr—5111051
LNov 19 · 11:15O. Mezera—118691V. Grubr—21111113
WOct 1 · 16:49O. Mezera—911911113V. Grubr—11811972
WOct 1 · 15:45O. Mezera—1115103V. Grubr—61380
O. Mezera10
WSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962LSep 8 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0071110101J. Senk1.7311312123WSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113WSep 7 · 15:15O. Mezera1.831110116113M. Myler1.8391291182LSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:15O. Mezera2.38811611102M. Makara1.53114115123LSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113LSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113LSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113
V. Grubr10
WSep 8 · 15:45V. Grubr1.7351211113J. Senk2.001110791LSep 8 · 13:45S. Rejent1.8351111113V. Grubr1.83118681LSep 8 · 08:48V. Grubr2.25711671L. Heinzl1.5711511113WSep 8 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.611011871V. Grubr2.2012711113LSep 8 · 06:45L. Dobias1.501111123V. Grubr2.5089100LSep 8 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.531111113V. Grubr2.387970LSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972LSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.