TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101216
Played Sep 9Finished
Ondrej Mezera
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1185111012117811
Matej Myler
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Myler to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Mezera above · Matej Myler below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 94 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Matej Myler at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Mezera 1–1 Matej Myler Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 22:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Myler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mezera 1594 vs Myler 1675
Myler
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mezera 40% vs Myler 80%
Myler
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mezera 40% vs Myler 70%
Myler
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mezera -2 · Myler +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Myler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Myler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMezera 1.83 / Myler 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Myler)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13101216
Mezera1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Myler1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMezera1wins
AwayMyler1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMezeraMylerMezera − MylerBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.045.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMezeraMylerBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 816 vs 27 / 5750.1%47.4%409 / 816 vs 27 / 57Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.739.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MylerMezera 1.83/Myler 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Myler · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Myler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 7 · 15:15O. Mezera—1110116113M. Myler—91291182
LAug 26 · 15:15O. Mezera—711851M. Myler—11811113
O. Mezera10
LSep 9 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0091271192J. Senk1.731110115113LSep 8 · 16:49J. Senk1.8011711113O. Mezera1.91711281WSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962WSep 8 · 14:15O. Mezera2.20117118113V. Grubr1.6171161182LSep 8 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0071110101J. Senk1.7311312123WSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113WSep 7 · 15:15O. Mezera1.831110116113M. Myler1.8391291182LSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:15O. Mezera2.38811611102M. Makara1.53114115123LSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172
M. Myler10
WSep 9 · 13:45S. Rejent1.7378111192M. Myler2.00111156113WSep 7 · 16:48M. Makara1.83119111182M. Myler1.83711132113LSep 7 · 15:15O. Mezera1.831110116113M. Myler1.8391291182WSep 7 · 14:45M. Myler2.10111110113M. Makara1.67681291WSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871WAug 27 · 12:18M. Myler2.201111123Z. Vasatko1.6194100LAug 27 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.101211113M. Myler1.6710920WAug 27 · 10:45M. Myler1.5711911173L. Kolman2.259119151WAug 27 · 09:45M. Myler1.531114133T. Hucko2.38512110LAug 26 · 16:44R. Pisa1.361111133M. Myler3.0079110
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