Jakub Senk vs Ondrej Mezera 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13099724

Played Sep 8Finished

Jakub Senk

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

117711112118––

Ondrej Mezera

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingJakub Senk above · Ondrej Mezera below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-2

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 68 set 4, 11-8

68 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Senk 15–15 Ondrej Mezera Dead even across their 30 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Head to head

Same-day rematch · 4h before this match

Senk beat Mezera 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mezera)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mezera form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSenk 1.80 / Mezera 1.91

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Mezera)+5.5pp

Setka Cup · #13099724

Senk1.80

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite54% won 49 of 90

Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it71% 35 of 49

Mezera1.91

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog45% won 115 of 256

Down 0–1, comes back31% 46 of 148

Down 0–2, comes back17% 13 of 78

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSenk4wins

AwayMezera6wins

7 of 10 to a deciderMezera leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSenk75%3 of 4

AwayMezera83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Senk4Mezera6n = 10Mezera took 6 of 10

S2Senk6Mezera4n = 10Senk took 6 of 10

S3Senk8Mezera2n = 10Senk took 8 of 10

S4Senk2Mezera6n = 8Mezera took 6 of 8

S5Senk2Mezera5n = 7Mezera took 5 of 7

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away550%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSenkMezeraS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.143.3−0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSenkMezeraBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 288 vs 411 / 81851.7%50.2%149 / 288 vs 411 / 818Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.340.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Mezera

Senk 1.80/Mezera 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Mezera · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Senk won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 8 · 13:15J. Senk—11312123O. Mezera—71110101

LSep 5 · 17:45J. Senk—41111862O. Mezera—115811113

WAug 23 · 11:15J. Senk—2111113O. Mezera—19760

LAug 22 · 11:15J. Senk—7670O. Mezera—1111113

LAug 19 · 14:15J. Senk—111181062O. Mezera—691112113

WJul 22 · 16:48J. Senk—1312123113O. Mezera—1510101192

LJul 22 · 13:15J. Senk—711135102O. Mezera—1191111123

LJun 29 · 05:15J. Senk—713111192O. Mezera—111544113

WJun 24 · 06:15J. Senk—119117113O. Mezera—61171112

LJun 4 · 16:53J. Senk—91111972O. Mezera—115711113

J. Senk10

LSep 8 · 15:45V. Grubr1.7351211113J. Senk2.001110791 WSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113 WSep 8 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0071110101J. Senk1.7311312123 LSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113 LSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113 LSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890 LSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862 LSep 4 · 08:19J. Senk2.107960P. Fencl1.671111113 LSep 4 · 07:15P. Fencl1.7311811113J. Senk2.00911781 LSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113

O. Mezera10

WSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962 WSep 8 · 14:15O. Mezera2.20117118113V. Grubr1.6171161182 LSep 8 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0071110101J. Senk1.7311312123 WSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113 WSep 7 · 15:15O. Mezera1.831110116113M. Myler1.8391291182 LSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113 LSep 7 · 13:15O. Mezera2.38811611102M. Makara1.53114115123 LSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172 LSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113 WSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862

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