TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100942
Played Sep 9Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711811115116911
Matej Myler
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeStepan Rejent to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Matej Myler below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Stepan Rejent at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 10–5 Matej Myler Matej Myler has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:17What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rejent
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-5 in 15
Rejent
Wrong
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1604 vs Myler 1666
Myler
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 20% vs Myler 80%
Myler
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 20% vs Myler 70%
Myler
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent -3 · Myler +1
Rejent
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Myler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.73 / Myler 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rejent)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100942
Rejent1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 85 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 59 of 81
Myler2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 7 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back30% 3 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent8wins
AwayMyler2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRejent leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent75%6 of 8
AwayMylern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent8Myler2n = 10Rejent took 8 of 10
S2Rejent5Myler5n = 10split evenly
S3Rejent5Myler5n = 10split evenly
S4Rejent5Myler4n = 9Rejent took 5 of 9
S5Rejent3Myler0n = 3Rejent took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentMylerR − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.038.9+4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentMylerBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 774 vs 26 / 5646.8%46.4%362 / 774 vs 26 / 56Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentRejent 1.73/Myler 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Myler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 13:45S. Rejent—148871M. Myler—121111113
WAug 26 · 13:45S. Rejent—118119113M. Myler—91161152
WApr 9 · 13:45S. Rejent—51114123M. Myler—11912101
WDec 16 · 17:33S. Rejent—1111913113M. Myler—77111582
WDec 16 · 15:30S. Rejent—1012911143M. Myler—1210113122
WMay 24 · 09:45S. Rejent—11911113M. Myler—7117101
WMay 22 · 13:45S. Rejent—1112133M. Myler—610110
WMay 1 · 16:15S. Rejent—11711103M. Myler—811591
LMay 1 · 14:45S. Rejent—1176101M. Myler—71111123
WMar 6 · 21:45S. Rejent—11116113M. Myler—561161
S. Rejent10
LSep 8 · 16:19V. Grubr1.91611115113S. Rejent1.8011491182LSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962LSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113WSep 8 · 13:45S. Rejent1.8351111113V. Grubr1.83118681LSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113LSep 7 · 15:45S. Rejent1.6711911892M. Makara2.10911611113WSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113
M. Myler10
WSep 9 · 14:15O. Mezera1.83115101182M. Myler1.83811127113WSep 7 · 16:48M. Makara1.83119111182M. Myler1.83711132113LSep 7 · 15:15O. Mezera1.831110116113M. Myler1.8391291182WSep 7 · 14:45M. Myler2.10111110113M. Makara1.67681291WSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871WAug 27 · 12:18M. Myler2.201111123Z. Vasatko1.6194100LAug 27 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.101211113M. Myler1.6710920WAug 27 · 10:45M. Myler1.5711911173L. Kolman2.259119151WAug 27 · 09:45M. Myler1.531114133T. Hucko2.38512110LAug 26 · 16:44R. Pisa1.361111133M. Myler3.0079110
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