TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100792
Played Sep 9Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116911911––
Jakub Senk
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeStepan Rejent to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Jakub Senk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Stepan Rejent at 57.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 7–5 Jakub Senk Jakub Senk has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:27What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rejent
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Rejent
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1595 vs Senk 1582
Rejent
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 20% vs Senk 80%
Senk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 20% vs Senk 40%
Senk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent -4 · Senk +2
Rejent
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Rejent)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.67 / Senk 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Rejent)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13100792
Rejent1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 85 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 59 of 81
Senk2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 26 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back42% 14 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back24% 4 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent6wins
AwaySenk4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderRejent leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent66.7%4 of 6
AwaySenk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent6Senk4n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S2Rejent6Senk4n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S3Rejent7Senk3n = 10Rejent took 7 of 10
S4Rejent3Senk6n = 9Senk took 6 of 9
S5Rejent3Senk3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentSenkR − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.942.0+1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentSenkBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 775 vs 149 / 28646.7%52.1%362 / 775 vs 149 / 286Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RejentRejent 1.67/Senk 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Rejent · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Senk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent—91112852J. Senk—1181011113
WAug 19 · 13:45S. Rejent—811812123J. Senk—1191110102
LMay 23 · 09:30S. Rejent—117119122J. Senk—511411143
WMay 16 · 10:45S. Rejent—141111113J. Senk—166761
WMay 10 · 12:58S. Rejent—111011113J. Senk—612581
LMay 10 · 09:30S. Rejent—911881J. Senk—11711113
WApr 28 · 15:45S. Rejent—1111133J. Senk—64110
WDec 30 · 17:24S. Rejent—124134113J. Senk—1011111192
WDec 30 · 14:30S. Rejent—117119113J. Senk—91171182
LDec 17 · 15:15S. Rejent—11114762J. Senk—961111113
S. Rejent10
WSep 9 · 15:15O. Mezera2.259770S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 9 · 13:45S. Rejent1.7378111192M. Myler2.00111156113LSep 8 · 16:19V. Grubr1.91611115113S. Rejent1.8011491182LSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962LSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113WSep 8 · 13:45S. Rejent1.8351111113V. Grubr1.83118681LSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113LSep 7 · 15:45S. Rejent1.6711911892M. Makara2.10911611113WSep 7 · 14:15O. Mezera2.257490S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871
J. Senk10
WSep 9 · 15:45M. Myler1.8312163952J. Senk1.8310141111113WSep 9 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0091271192J. Senk1.731110115113WSep 8 · 16:49J. Senk1.8011711113O. Mezera1.91711281LSep 8 · 15:45V. Grubr1.7351211113J. Senk2.001110791WSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113WSep 8 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0071110101J. Senk1.7311312123LSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890LSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862
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