TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100998
Played Sep 9Finished
Matej Myler
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101614311911511
Jakub Senk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Myler to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatej Myler above · Jakub Senk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 102 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Matej Myler at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Matej Myler 0–1 Jakub Senk Matej Myler has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:36What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Senk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Myler 1683 vs Senk 1594
Myler
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myler 80% vs Senk 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myler 80% vs Senk 50%
Myler
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Myler +3 · Senk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Myler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyler 1.83 / Senk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Myler)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13100998
Myler1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Senk1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMyler0wins
AwaySenk1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSenk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMylerSenkM − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match44.051.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMylerSenkBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 58 vs 150 / 28748.3%52.3%28 / 58 vs 150 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MylerMyler 1.83/Senk 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Myler · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Senk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 5 · 13:45M. Myler—78111262J. Senk—1111810113
M. Myler10
WSep 9 · 14:15O. Mezera1.83115101182M. Myler1.83811127113WSep 9 · 13:45S. Rejent1.7378111192M. Myler2.00111156113WSep 7 · 16:48M. Makara1.83119111182M. Myler1.83711132113LSep 7 · 15:15O. Mezera1.831110116113M. Myler1.8391291182WSep 7 · 14:45M. Myler2.10111110113M. Makara1.67681291WSep 7 · 13:45M. Myler2.00121111113S. Rejent1.73148871WAug 27 · 12:18M. Myler2.201111123Z. Vasatko1.6194100LAug 27 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.101211113M. Myler1.6710920WAug 27 · 10:45M. Myler1.5711911173L. Kolman2.259119151WAug 27 · 09:45M. Myler1.531114133T. Hucko2.38512110
J. Senk10
WSep 9 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67711991J. Senk2.1011611113WSep 9 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0091271192J. Senk1.731110115113WSep 8 · 16:49J. Senk1.8011711113O. Mezera1.91711281LSep 8 · 15:45V. Grubr1.7351211113J. Senk2.001110791WSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113WSep 8 · 13:15O. Mezera2.0071110101J. Senk1.7311312123LSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890LSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862
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