TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105793
Played Sep 10Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171144116111311
Matus Zelinka
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeMatus Zelinka to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Matus Zelinka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 89 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Matus Zelinka at 66.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 2–5 Matus Zelinka Stepan Rejent has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:40What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zelinka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Zelinka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1586 vs Zelinka 1758
Zelinka
Wrong
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 20% vs Zelinka 80%
Zelinka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 20% vs Zelinka 70%
Zelinka
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent -1 · Zelinka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zelinka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelinka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 2.50 / Zelinka 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Zelinka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105793
Rejent2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 88 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 68
Zelinka1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 69 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it78% 45 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeRejent2wins
AwayZelinka5wins
5 of 7 to a deciderZelinka leads 5–2, and 5 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent50%2 of 4
AwayZelinka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent4Zelinka3n = 7Rejent took 4 of 7
S2Rejent3Zelinka4n = 7Zelinka took 4 of 7
S3Rejent2Zelinka5n = 7Zelinka took 5 of 7
S4Rejent1Zelinka4n = 5Zelinka took 4 of 5
S5Rejent2Zelinka3n = 5Zelinka took 3 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricRejentZelinkaR − ZBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match39.743.9−4.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentZelinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 778 vs 207 / 39246.7%52.8%363 / 778 vs 207 / 392Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelinkaRejent 2.50/Zelinka 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Zelinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rejent won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LMay 13 · 15:45S. Rejent—121195112M. Zelinka—1051111133
WOct 3 · 15:00S. Rejent—111277103M. Zelinka—610111172
LAug 19 · 14:15S. Rejent—12312992M. Zelinka—10111011113
LMay 5 · 18:45S. Rejent—9980M. Zelinka—1111113
WMar 11 · 21:00S. Rejent—1111212113M. Zelinka—38111492
LMar 5 · 16:15S. Rejent—4770M. Zelinka—1111113
LJan 11 · 20:45S. Rejent—99111172M. Zelinka—111187113
S. Rejent10
LSep 9 · 16:23S. Rejent1.5311991162O. Mezera2.38311119113WSep 9 · 15:15O. Mezera2.259770S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 9 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67711991J. Senk2.1011611113LSep 9 · 13:45S. Rejent1.7378111192M. Myler2.00111156113LSep 8 · 16:19V. Grubr1.91611115113S. Rejent1.8011491182LSep 8 · 15:15O. Mezera2.38911911113S. Rejent1.5311911962LSep 8 · 14:45S. Rejent1.6791112852J. Senk2.101181011113WSep 8 · 13:45S. Rejent1.8351111113V. Grubr1.83118681LSep 7 · 16:19S. Rejent1.5071590O. Mezera2.501117113LSep 7 · 15:45S. Rejent1.6711911892M. Makara2.10911611113
M. Zelinka10
WSep 10 · 08:53M. Zelinka2.0012116113L. Dobias1.731091191LSep 10 · 07:45L. Dobias1.7311117113M. Zelinka2.00871191WSep 10 · 06:45L. Heinzl1.831261051M. Zelinka1.83101112113WSep 10 · 05:15P. Wasik1.5311115562M. Zelinka2.38971111113WSep 9 · 12:48M. Zelinka1.6781111113M. Stibor2.10116671WSep 9 · 11:45M. Zelinka2.101111113L. Dobias1.678970WSep 9 · 10:15L. Svoboda2.25107111182M. Zelinka1.57121196113LSep 9 · 09:45M. Stibor2.2011811133M. Zelinka1.617111111WSep 8 · 08:18L. Dobias1.73971181M. Zelinka2.0011117113LSep 8 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.10711912102L. Dobias1.671161110123
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