TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105712
Played Sep 10Finished
Petr Wasik
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119117511511611
Matus Zelinka
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timePetr Wasik to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
119117511511611
H2H Petr Wasik 9–5 Matus Zelinka Matus Zelinka has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Wasik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Wasik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1816 vs Zelinka 1736
Wasik
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 80% vs Zelinka 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 60% vs Zelinka 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik +2 · Zelinka +3
Zelinka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Wasik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelinka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 1.53 / Zelinka 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Wasik)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13105712
Wasik1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite64% won 48 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it81% 35 of 43
Zelinka2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog56% won 34 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back38% 13 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWasik7wins
AwayZelinka3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWasik leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWasik80%4 of 5
AwayZelinka40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wasik5Zelinka5n = 10split evenly
S2Wasik6Zelinka4n = 10Wasik took 6 of 10
S3Wasik6Zelinka4n = 10Wasik took 6 of 10
S4Wasik5Zelinka3n = 8Wasik took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWasikZelinkaW − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.634.6+3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikZelinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 129 vs 204 / 38861.2%52.6%79 / 129 vs 204 / 388Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasikWasik 1.53/Zelinka 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Wasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zelinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik—1110117113M. Zelinka—31281182
WAug 28 · 07:15P. Wasik—11911113M. Zelinka—311921
LApr 22 · 09:15P. Wasik—9840M. Zelinka—1111113
WMar 31 · 12:13P. Wasik—1111113M. Zelinka—8470
WMar 31 · 11:15P. Wasik—41111113M. Zelinka—115861
WMar 25 · 16:15P. Wasik—11118113M. Zelinka—981191
LMar 11 · 17:43P. Wasik—812561M. Zelinka—111011113
LMar 11 · 15:15P. Wasik—116981M. Zelinka—61111113
WFeb 5 · 13:11P. Wasik—121311113M. Zelinka—1411971
WFeb 5 · 12:15P. Wasik—51311113M. Zelinka—1111781
P. Wasik10
LSep 10 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8351170L. Dobias1.831113113WSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113WSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik1.611211113L. Veigl2.2010850LSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113WSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182WAug 28 · 08:53V. Burylov2.3810960P. Wasik1.531211113WAug 28 · 07:15P. Wasik1.6111911113M. Zelinka2.20311921WAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681LAug 28 · 05:15P. Wasik1.44910110V. Burylov2.631112133LAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062
M. Zelinka10
WSep 9 · 12:48M. Zelinka1.6781111113M. Stibor2.10116671WSep 9 · 11:45M. Zelinka2.101111113L. Dobias1.678970WSep 9 · 10:15L. Svoboda2.25107111182M. Zelinka1.57121196113LSep 9 · 09:45M. Stibor2.2011811133M. Zelinka1.617111111WSep 8 · 08:18L. Dobias1.73971181M. Zelinka2.0011117113LSep 8 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.10711912102L. Dobias1.671161110123LSep 8 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.835980L. Heinzl1.831111113WSep 8 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.531111113V. Grubr2.387970LSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182LAug 28 · 07:15P. Wasik1.6111911113M. Zelinka2.20311921
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