TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104695
Played Sep 10Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121315411––––
Matyas Navedla
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:39 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Matyas Navedla below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 65 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 55.9%
65 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 30–22 Matyas Navedla Matyas Navedla has won 22 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Polasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-22 in 52
Polasek
Wrong
gap of 8 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1871 vs Navedla 1772
Polasek
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 60% vs Navedla 40%
Polasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 60% vs Navedla 40%
Polasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek +2 · Navedla -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Polasek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 1.61 / Navedla 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Polasek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104695
Polasek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 197 of 377
Up 2–0, closes it85% 95 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it71% 136 of 191
Navedla2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 140 of 327
Down 0–1, comes back25% 41 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek6wins
AwayNavedla4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPolasek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasek100%4 of 4
AwayNavedla66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek4Navedla6n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S2Polasek4Navedla6n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S3Polasek6Navedla4n = 10Polasek took 6 of 10
S4Polasek4Navedla3n = 7Polasek took 4 of 7
S5Polasek3Navedla1n = 4Polasek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekNavedlaP − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.9+1.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekNavedlaBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 878 vs 363 / 76151%47.7%448 / 878 vs 363 / 761Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekPolasek 1.61/Navedla 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Navedla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 07:30R. Polasek—126119113M. Navedla—101161162
LAug 24 · 06:30R. Polasek—981141M. Navedla—11116113
LAug 23 · 19:30R. Polasek—79120M. Navedla—1111143
WAug 14 · 10:00R. Polasek—71111113M. Navedla—117971
LAug 12 · 07:30R. Polasek—81090M. Navedla—1112113
WAug 10 · 08:00R. Polasek—119115113M. Navedla—61191172
WJul 30 · 08:58R. Polasek—11118113M. Navedla—771171
LJul 30 · 08:30R. Polasek—101271192M. Navedla—1210119113
WJul 28 · 17:00R. Polasek—1112113M. Navedla—91010
WJul 28 · 15:30R. Polasek—1071211113M. Navedla—121110732
R. Polasek10
WSep 10 · 11:30J. Pilch2.251151381R. Polasek1.5741115113WSep 10 · 10:00R. Polasek1.8311118113O. Paril1.83981191LSep 9 · 17:30M. Grundel2.10117115113R. Polasek1.6571151162WSep 9 · 16:30L. Prikasky2.0391350R. Polasek1.621115113LSep 9 · 15:30R. Polasek1.75711781M. Skotnica1.9511811113WSep 9 · 14:30M. Grundel2.0854111122R. Polasek1.59111173113LSep 9 · 09:30O. Paril1.80111110113R. Polasek1.90891281WSep 9 · 08:00M. Vavrecka2.0011812101R. Polasek1.73131110123LSep 9 · 07:00O. Paril1.80711112113R. Polasek1.9111781192WSep 9 · 06:30R. Polasek1.8311117123R. Revay1.838711101
M. Navedla10
LSep 10 · 11:00O. Paril1.44811193123M. Navedla2.631141711102LSep 10 · 10:30M. Navedla2.007460J. Pilch1.731111113WSep 10 · 09:00M. Navedla2.1091111113M. Vavrecka1.67115451LSep 10 · 08:30M. Navedla2.0081090J. Pilch1.731112113WSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla1.83611128113R. Revay1.83118101182WSep 10 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.578111131M. Navedla2.2511133113WSep 8 · 08:58J. Pilch1.8091190M. Navedla1.911113113LSep 8 · 08:30J. Pilch1.80811711113M. Navedla1.9111511952LSep 8 · 07:30M. Navedla2.20101161162R. Polasek1.61126119113LSep 8 · 06:30P. Wawrosz1.53111111113M. Navedla2.38813481
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