TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104519
Played Sep 9Finished
Libor Prikasky
Home
2.03
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111315511––––
Radovan Polasek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:07 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLibor Prikasky above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 64 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 54.7%
64 points played in total.
H2H Libor Prikasky 1–3 Radovan Polasek Libor Prikasky has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:07What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (56%)
Polasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Polasek
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prikasky 1721 vs Polasek 1831
Polasek
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prikasky 20% vs Polasek 40%
Polasek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prikasky 40% vs Polasek 60%
Polasek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prikasky -3 · Polasek -1
Prikasky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Polasek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrikasky 2.03 / Polasek 1.62
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Polasek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104519
Prikasky2.03
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 83 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 62
Polasek1.62
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite52% won 193 of 372
Up 2–0, closes it84% 91 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it71% 132 of 187
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePrikasky1wins
AwayPolasek3wins
Polasek leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrikaskyn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPolasek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prikasky1Polasek3n = 4Polasek took 3 of 4
S2Prikasky1Polasek3n = 4Polasek took 3 of 4
S3Prikasky2Polasek2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricPrikaskyPolasekPrikasky − PolasekBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match27.533.0−5.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrikaskyPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 447 vs 445 / 87455.7%50.9%249 / 447 vs 445 / 874Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekPrikasky 2.03/Polasek 1.62
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.4%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 16 · 12:30L. Prikasky—8490R. Polasek—1111113
LAug 10 · 09:28L. Prikasky—4712101R. Polasek—111110123
WAug 10 · 06:00L. Prikasky—1111113R. Polasek—6790
LAug 8 · 20:00L. Prikasky—8870R. Polasek—1111113
L. Prikasky10
LSep 9 · 15:00L. Prikasky1.83541381M. Grundel1.83111111113LSep 9 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.618111110113L. Prikasky2.2011561252LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113LSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla1.73116124112L. Prikasky2.001111011133
R. Polasek10
LSep 9 · 15:30R. Polasek1.75711781M. Skotnica1.9511811113WSep 9 · 14:30M. Grundel2.0854111122R. Polasek1.59111173113LSep 9 · 09:30O. Paril1.80111110113R. Polasek1.90891281WSep 9 · 08:00M. Vavrecka2.0011812101R. Polasek1.73131110123LSep 9 · 07:00O. Paril1.80711112113R. Polasek1.9111781192WSep 9 · 06:30R. Polasek1.8311117123R. Revay1.838711101WSep 8 · 09:29P. Wawrosz1.73711661R. Polasek2.0011411113LSep 8 · 08:00R. Polasek1.8312881192P. Wawrosz1.831011116113WSep 8 · 07:30M. Navedla2.20101161162R. Polasek1.61126119113WSep 8 · 06:00R. Polasek1.57111175113J. Pilch2.2576111132
Upcoming Matches
L. Prikasky
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R. Polasek
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