TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098828
Played Sep 9Finished
Ondrej Paril
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711117118211119
Radovan Polasek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:23 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Paril above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 88 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 56.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Paril 43–37 Radovan Polasek Radovan Polasek has won 37 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:23What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Paril
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-37 in 80
Paril
Correct
gap of 6 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paril 1862 vs Polasek 1839
Paril
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paril 40% vs Polasek 80%
Polasek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paril 30% vs Polasek 60%
Polasek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Paril +2 · Polasek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Paril) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParil 1.80 / Polasek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Paril)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098828
Paril1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 181 of 331
Up 2–0, closes it91% 82 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it75% 137 of 182
Polasek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog51% won 175 of 341
Down 0–1, comes back30% 51 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParil6wins
AwayPolasek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderParil leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParil60%3 of 5
AwayPolasek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paril5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S2Paril5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Paril6Polasek4n = 10Paril took 6 of 10
S4Paril4Polasek5n = 9Polasek took 5 of 9
S5Paril3Polasek2n = 5Paril took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricParilPolasekParil − PolasekBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.242.0−0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParilPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime501 / 965 vs 443 / 87051.9%50.9%501 / 965 vs 443 / 870Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParilParil 1.80/Polasek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Paril · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 10:30O. Paril—1111118113R. Polasek—13991172
LSep 4 · 09:30O. Paril—7560R. Polasek—1111113
WSep 4 · 07:30O. Paril—11911113R. Polasek—411861
LAug 30 · 09:30O. Paril—111111362R. Polasek—591311113
WAug 30 · 06:30O. Paril—1011711113R. Polasek—12711982
WAug 28 · 10:00O. Paril—12511113R. Polasek—1011971
LAug 26 · 06:30O. Paril—411391R. Polasek—11911113
WAug 25 · 13:00O. Paril—81111113R. Polasek—116981
WAug 25 · 10:30O. Paril—139117123R. Polasek—1111811102
LAug 21 · 19:30O. Paril—14811792R. Polasek—1211411113
O. Paril10
WSep 9 · 06:00M. Vavrecka2.20731491O. Paril1.61111112113WSep 7 · 21:00T. Dousek1.7310990O. Paril2.001211113LSep 7 · 20:00O. Paril2.75761171D. Opanasiuk1.4011118113LSep 7 · 19:30T. Dousek1.80111179113O. Paril1.9159111162LSep 7 · 18:00O. Paril1.61116971M. Vavrecka2.2051111113LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111LSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113WSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113
R. Polasek10
WSep 9 · 06:30R. Polasek1.8311117123R. Revay1.838711101WSep 8 · 09:29P. Wawrosz1.73711661R. Polasek2.0011411113LSep 8 · 08:00R. Polasek1.8312881192P. Wawrosz1.831011116113WSep 8 · 07:30M. Navedla2.20101161162R. Polasek1.61126119113WSep 8 · 06:00R. Polasek1.57111175113J. Pilch2.2576111132LSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113LSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113
Upcoming Matches
O. Paril
R. Polasek
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.