TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098827
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Vavrecka
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
111381112101012––
Radovan Polasek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Vavrecka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vavrecka above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 87 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Michal Vavrecka at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vavrecka 37–46 Radovan Polasek Michal Vavrecka has won 37 of their 83 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:22What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Polasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-46 in 83
Polasek
Correct
gap of 9 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1843 vs Polasek 1839
Vavrecka
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 40% vs Polasek 60%
Polasek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 50% vs Polasek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka -3 · Polasek -1
Vavrecka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Polasek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 2.00 / Polasek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Polasek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098827
Vavrecka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 175 of 386
Down 0–1, comes back28% 59 of 214
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 101
Polasek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite52% won 193 of 372
Up 2–0, closes it84% 91 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it71% 132 of 187
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka4wins
AwayPolasek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPolasek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka100%3 of 3
AwayPolasek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka3Polasek7n = 10Polasek took 7 of 10
S2Vavrecka5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Vavrecka4Polasek6n = 10Polasek took 6 of 10
S4Vavrecka4Polasek4n = 8split evenly
S5Vavrecka2Polasek1n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaPolasekV − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.041.3−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime1013 / 2007 vs 443 / 87050.5%50.9%1013 / 2007 vs 443 / 870Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekVavrecka 2.00/Polasek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 21:00M. Vavrecka—6151011113R. Polasek—111312882
WSep 6 · 18:00M. Vavrecka—119611113R. Polasek—81111862
LAug 31 · 08:30M. Vavrecka—1251181R. Polasek—14117113
LAug 30 · 08:30M. Vavrecka—51090R. Polasek—1112113
LAug 29 · 08:30M. Vavrecka—7151091R. Polasek—111312113
WAug 28 · 12:30M. Vavrecka—11811113R. Polasek—511871
WAug 26 · 09:30M. Vavrecka—1111113R. Polasek—3970
LAug 26 · 08:30M. Vavrecka—1213751R. Polasek—141111113
LAug 25 · 06:30M. Vavrecka—1012111182R. Polasek—121428113
LAug 23 · 20:59M. Vavrecka—101114101R. Polasek—12916123
M. Vavrecka10
LSep 9 · 06:00M. Vavrecka2.20731491O. Paril1.61111112113LSep 7 · 21:30M. Vavrecka2.356760D. Opanasiuk1.521111113WSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491WSep 7 · 19:00M. Vavrecka2.25119118113D. Opanasiuk1.5781191182WSep 7 · 18:00O. Paril1.61116971M. Vavrecka2.2051111113WSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 09:30M. Vavrecka1.781612113P. Wawrosz1.93141050
R. Polasek10
LSep 9 · 07:00O. Paril1.80711112113R. Polasek1.9111781192WSep 9 · 06:30R. Polasek1.8311117123R. Revay1.838711101WSep 8 · 09:29P. Wawrosz1.73711661R. Polasek2.0011411113LSep 8 · 08:00R. Polasek1.8312881192P. Wawrosz1.831011116113WSep 8 · 07:30M. Navedla2.20101161162R. Polasek1.61126119113WSep 8 · 06:00R. Polasek1.57111175113J. Pilch2.2576111132LSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113LSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113
Upcoming Matches
M. Vavrecka1 of 1 neutral
R. Polasek2 of 2 neutral
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.