TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099174
Played Sep 9Finished
Martin Skotnica
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111151161012115
Libor Prikasky
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:56 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Skotnica to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Skotnica above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 90 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Martin Skotnica at 58.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skotnica 5–2 Libor Prikasky Libor Prikasky has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Skotnica
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Skotnica
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skotnica 1859 vs Prikasky 1745
Skotnica
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skotnica 80% vs Prikasky 40%
Skotnica
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skotnica 80% vs Prikasky 50%
Skotnica
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skotnica -1 · Prikasky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skotnica)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skotnica form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotnica 1.61 / Prikasky 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Skotnica)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099174
Skotnica1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 46 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Prikasky2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 83 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSkotnica5wins
AwayPrikasky2wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSkotnica leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotnica100%4 of 4
AwayPrikasky66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotnica4Prikasky3n = 7Skotnica took 4 of 7
S2Skotnica5Prikasky2n = 7Skotnica took 5 of 7
S3Skotnica6Prikasky1n = 7Skotnica took 6 of 7
S4Skotnica2Prikasky3n = 5Prikasky took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricSkotnicaPrikaskyS − PBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.934.4+6.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicaPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 219 vs 249 / 44555.3%56%121 / 219 vs 249 / 445Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicaSkotnica 1.61/Prikasky 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Skotnica · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skotnica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica—912118102L. Prikasky—1110711123
WSep 4 · 15:30M. Skotnica—1112113L. Prikasky—41030
WAug 13 · 15:30M. Skotnica—11411113L. Prikasky—711871
LAug 5 · 17:30M. Skotnica—8811111L. Prikasky—11117133
WAug 5 · 16:00M. Skotnica—1311113L. Prikasky—11970
WJul 8 · 14:00M. Skotnica—91111113L. Prikasky—113491
WJun 18 · 16:30M. Skotnica—1111413113L. Prikasky—87111532
M. Skotnica10
LSep 9 · 17:00M. Skotnica1.61101111852L. Prikasky2.20129611113LSep 9 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.73431171M. Grundel2.0011113113WSep 9 · 15:30R. Polasek1.75711781M. Skotnica1.9511811113LSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.671111143M. Navedla2.1067120WSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.83111182113D. Tomica1.8363111142WSep 3 · 17:29M. Skotnica1.6112114113M. Grundel2.201091191WSep 3 · 16:00M. Grundel2.1012871192M. Skotnica1.671011119113WSep 3 · 15:00L. Velebil1.838101191M. Skotnica1.8311129113
L. Prikasky10
WSep 9 · 17:00M. Skotnica1.61101111852L. Prikasky2.20129611113LSep 9 · 16:30L. Prikasky2.0391350R. Polasek1.621115113LSep 9 · 15:00L. Prikasky1.83541381M. Grundel1.83111111113LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113LSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113
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