TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13105285
Played Sep 9Finished
Martin Skotnica
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012119116811511
Libor Prikasky
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMartin Skotnica above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 94 set 5, 5-11
94 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skotnica 6–2 Libor Prikasky Libor Prikasky has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Skotnica beat Prikasky 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skotnica)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prikasky form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotnica 1.61 / Prikasky 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Skotnica)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13105285
Skotnica1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 46 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Prikasky2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 83 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSkotnica6wins
AwayPrikasky2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderSkotnica leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotnica100%4 of 4
AwayPrikasky50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotnica4Prikasky4n = 8split evenly
S2Skotnica6Prikasky2n = 8Skotnica took 6 of 8
S3Skotnica7Prikasky1n = 8Skotnica took 7 of 8
S4Skotnica2Prikasky4n = 6Prikasky took 4 of 6
S5Skotnica2Prikasky1n = 3Skotnica took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricSkotnicaPrikaskyS − PBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match42.135.0+7.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicaPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 222 vs 249 / 44855.4%55.6%123 / 222 vs 249 / 448Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicaSkotnica 1.61/Prikasky 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Skotnica · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Prikasky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 9 · 14:00M. Skotnica—8111110113L. Prikasky—11561252
LSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica—912118102L. Prikasky—1110711123
WSep 4 · 15:30M. Skotnica—1112113L. Prikasky—41030
WAug 13 · 15:30M. Skotnica—11411113L. Prikasky—711871
LAug 5 · 17:30M. Skotnica—8811111L. Prikasky—11117133
WAug 5 · 16:00M. Skotnica—1311113L. Prikasky—11970
WJul 8 · 14:00M. Skotnica—91111113L. Prikasky—113491
WJun 18 · 16:30M. Skotnica—1111413113L. Prikasky—87111532
M. Skotnica10
LSep 9 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.73431171M. Grundel2.0011113113WSep 9 · 15:30R. Polasek1.75711781M. Skotnica1.9511811113WSep 9 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.618111110113L. Prikasky2.2011561252LSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:00M. Skotnica1.671111143M. Navedla2.1067120WSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WSep 4 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.83111182113D. Tomica1.8363111142WSep 3 · 17:29M. Skotnica1.6112114113M. Grundel2.201091191WSep 3 · 16:00M. Grundel2.1012871192M. Skotnica1.671011119113WSep 3 · 15:00L. Velebil1.838101191M. Skotnica1.8311129113
L. Prikasky10
LSep 9 · 16:30L. Prikasky2.0391350R. Polasek1.621115113LSep 9 · 15:00L. Prikasky1.83541381M. Grundel1.83111111113LSep 9 · 14:00M. Skotnica1.618111110113L. Prikasky2.2011561252LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113LSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113
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