TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108507
Played Sep 10Finished
Matyas Navedla
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911115114115––
Michal Vavrecka
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Michal Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 67 set 4, 11-5
67 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Navedla 14–20 Michal Vavrecka Matyas Navedla has won 14 of their 34 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Navedla beat Vavrecka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vavrecka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNavedla 2.10 / Vavrecka 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Vavrecka)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108507
Navedla2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 140 of 327
Down 0–1, comes back25% 41 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 73
Vavrecka1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite53% won 170 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it88% 70 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it75% 120 of 161
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNavedla4wins
AwayVavrecka6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNavedla75%3 of 4
AwayVavrecka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Navedla4Vavrecka6n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S2Navedla4Vavrecka6n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S3Navedla4Vavrecka6n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S4Navedla4Vavrecka4n = 8split evenly
S5Navedla3Vavrecka3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNavedlaVavreckaN − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.343.0−2.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNavedlaVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 757 vs 1013 / 200647.8%50.5%362 / 757 vs 1013 / 2006Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaNavedla 2.10/Vavrecka 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Navedla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 06:00M. Navedla—11133113M. Vavrecka—8111131
LSep 5 · 08:00M. Navedla—1111117142M. Vavrecka—135411163
LAug 26 · 10:30M. Navedla—9850M. Vavrecka—1111113
LAug 23 · 18:30M. Navedla—616121182M. Vavrecka—1118109113
LAug 23 · 14:30M. Navedla—861161M. Vavrecka—11117113
LAug 12 · 14:30M. Navedla—3670M. Vavrecka—1111113
WAug 12 · 06:30M. Navedla—111187123M. Vavrecka—591111102
LAug 11 · 06:30M. Navedla—11119882M. Vavrecka—661111113
WJul 15 · 12:00M. Navedla—117811113M. Vavrecka—71111582
WJul 12 · 08:00M. Navedla—911112123M. Vavrecka—1111810102
M. Navedla10
WSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla1.83611128113R. Revay1.83118101182WSep 10 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.578111131M. Navedla2.2511133113WSep 8 · 08:58J. Pilch1.8091190M. Navedla1.911113113LSep 8 · 08:30J. Pilch1.80811711113M. Navedla1.9111511952LSep 8 · 07:30M. Navedla2.20101161162R. Polasek1.61126119113LSep 8 · 06:30P. Wawrosz1.53111111113M. Navedla2.38813481WSep 7 · 13:30M. Navedla2.1071111113T. Dousek1.67116841LSep 7 · 12:30J. Pilch1.731161110123M. Navedla2.00611512102WSep 7 · 11:30M. Navedla2.501111123T. Dousek1.5098100WSep 7 · 10:30P. Wawrosz1.738550M. Navedla2.001111113
M. Vavrecka10
LSep 10 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.739101171R. Revay2.0011126113LSep 10 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.578111131M. Navedla2.2511133113LSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay1.921111512123M. Vavrecka1.78491114102LSep 9 · 08:00M. Vavrecka2.0011812101R. Polasek1.73131110123LSep 9 · 07:30R. Revay2.0011711113M. Vavrecka1.73711671LSep 9 · 06:00M. Vavrecka2.20731491O. Paril1.61111112113LSep 7 · 21:30M. Vavrecka2.356760D. Opanasiuk1.521111113WSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491WSep 7 · 19:00M. Vavrecka2.25119118113D. Opanasiuk1.5781191182WSep 7 · 18:00O. Paril1.61116971M. Vavrecka2.2051111113
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