TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104094
Played Sep 10Finished
Matyas Navedla
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111181210811118
Radomir Revay
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatyas Navedla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Radomir Revay below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 96 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Matyas Navedla at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Navedla 17–15 Radomir Revay Radomir Revay has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:59What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Revay
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-15 in 32
Navedla
Correct
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Navedla 1798 vs Revay 1798
Revay
Wrong
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Navedla 40% vs Revay 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Navedla 60% vs Revay 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Navedla +2 · Revay +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Revay) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Revay form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNavedla 1.83 / Revay 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Revay)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104094
Navedla1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Revay1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNavedla7wins
AwayRevay3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNavedla leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNavedla50%3 of 6
AwayRevay0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Navedla6Revay4n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S2Navedla8Revay2n = 10Navedla took 8 of 10
S3Navedla6Revay4n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S4Navedla2Revay5n = 7Revay took 5 of 7
S5Navedla3Revay1n = 4Navedla took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNavedlaRevayN − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.037.4+1.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNavedlaRevayBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 757 vs 293 / 56847.8%51.6%362 / 757 vs 293 / 568Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevayNavedla 1.83/Revay 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Revay · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Navedla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla—611128113R. Revay—118101182
LSep 4 · 12:00M. Navedla—1186111R. Revay—81111133
LAug 14 · 12:30M. Navedla—11122492R. Revay—4101111113
WAug 11 · 10:30M. Navedla—1111113R. Revay—8670
WAug 11 · 08:30M. Navedla—1111133R. Revay—97110
WAug 5 · 06:00M. Navedla—811115113R. Revay—11841152
WJul 23 · 09:00M. Navedla—1111113R. Revay—9780
WJul 23 · 07:30M. Navedla—41111143R. Revay—1196121
WJul 6 · 08:58M. Navedla—911613113R. Revay—116111152
LJul 6 · 06:30M. Navedla—125681R. Revay—101111113
M. Navedla10
WSep 10 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.578111131M. Navedla2.2511133113WSep 8 · 08:58J. Pilch1.8091190M. Navedla1.911113113LSep 8 · 08:30J. Pilch1.80811711113M. Navedla1.9111511952LSep 8 · 07:30M. Navedla2.20101161162R. Polasek1.61126119113LSep 8 · 06:30P. Wawrosz1.53111111113M. Navedla2.38813481WSep 7 · 13:30M. Navedla2.1071111113T. Dousek1.67116841LSep 7 · 12:30J. Pilch1.731161110123M. Navedla2.00611512102WSep 7 · 11:30M. Navedla2.501111123T. Dousek1.5098100WSep 7 · 10:30P. Wawrosz1.738550M. Navedla2.001111113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171
R. Revay10
WSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay1.921111512123M. Vavrecka1.78491114102LSep 9 · 08:30O. Paril1.73116128123R. Revay2.007111011102WSep 9 · 07:30R. Revay2.0011711113M. Vavrecka1.73711671LSep 9 · 06:30R. Polasek1.8311117123R. Revay1.838711101LSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113WSep 4 · 12:00R. Revay1.9181111133M. Navedla1.801186111WSep 4 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8011711992R. Revay1.91611411113WSep 4 · 10:00R. Revay1.44111112113L. Prikasky2.63851461LSep 3 · 08:58T. Zika1.801112143R. Revay1.91910120LSep 3 · 08:30J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Revay2.108590
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