Jakub Pilch vs Matyas Navedla 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13097874

Played Sep 8Finished

Jakub Pilch

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

9111113911––––

Matyas Navedla

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Matyas Navedla below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 9-11

Point 64 set 3, 9-11

64 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Pilch 26–17 Matyas Navedla Matyas Navedla has won 17 of their 43 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Pilch beat Navedla 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pilch)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Navedla form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPilch 1.80 / Navedla 1.91

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Pilch)+2.5pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13097874

Pilch1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite53% won 58 of 110

Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25

Up 1–0, closes it70% 40 of 57

Navedla1.91

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog43% won 139 of 326

Down 0–1, comes back25% 41 of 165

Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 76

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePilch6wins

AwayNavedla4wins

8 of 10 to a deciderPilch leads 6–4, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePilch66.7%4 of 6

AwayNavedla50%2 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Pilch6Navedla4n = 10Pilch took 6 of 10

S2Pilch2Navedla8n = 10Navedla took 8 of 10

S3Pilch6Navedla4n = 10Pilch took 6 of 10

S4Pilch4Navedla6n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10

S5Pilch6Navedla2n = 8Pilch took 6 of 8

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home660%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricPilchNavedlaP − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.343.6−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPilchNavedlaBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 431 vs 359 / 75450.6%47.6%218 / 431 vs 359 / 754Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Pilch

Pilch 1.80/Navedla 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Pilch · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Navedla won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 8 · 08:30J. Pilch—811711113M. Navedla—11511952

WSep 7 · 12:30J. Pilch—1161110123M. Navedla—611512102

LJul 15 · 17:13J. Pilch—15712662M. Navedla—13111011113

WJul 15 · 14:30J. Pilch—119812113M. Navedla—511111072

LJul 15 · 11:30J. Pilch—671151M. Navedla—11115113

WJul 14 · 12:00J. Pilch—117117113M. Navedla—51151192

LJul 12 · 09:30J. Pilch—14591132M. Navedla—1211118113

WJul 12 · 07:00J. Pilch—671111113M. Navedla—11116532

WJul 11 · 17:30J. Pilch—111177113M. Navedla—78111182

LJul 11 · 16:30J. Pilch—531181M. Navedla—11115113

J. Pilch10

WSep 8 · 08:30J. Pilch1.80811711113M. Navedla1.9111511952 LSep 8 · 07:00J. Pilch1.73551171P. Wawrosz2.0011116113 LSep 8 · 06:00R. Polasek1.57111175113J. Pilch2.2576111132 LSep 7 · 13:07J. Pilch1.72117271P. Wawrosz2.0041111113 WSep 7 · 12:30J. Pilch1.731161110123M. Navedla2.00611512102 WSep 7 · 11:00J. Pilch1.8371113113P. Wawrosz1.831171161 LSep 7 · 10:00T. Dousek1.611111113J. Pilch2.209980 LAug 2 · 17:30M. Kratochvil2.2014411113J. Pilch1.611211621 LAug 2 · 16:30M. Kratochvil2.00212411113J. Pilch1.73111011672 WAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362

M. Navedla10

LSep 8 · 08:30J. Pilch1.80811711113M. Navedla1.9111511952 LSep 8 · 07:30M. Navedla2.20101161162R. Polasek1.61126119113 LSep 8 · 06:30P. Wawrosz1.53111111113M. Navedla2.38813481 WSep 7 · 13:30M. Navedla2.1071111113T. Dousek1.67116841 LSep 7 · 12:30J. Pilch1.731161110123M. Navedla2.00611512102 WSep 7 · 11:30M. Navedla2.501111123T. Dousek1.5098100 WSep 7 · 10:30P. Wawrosz1.738550M. Navedla2.001111113 WSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171 LSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.57135411163M. Navedla2.251111117142 LSep 5 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.73881111113M. Navedla2.0011117692

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