TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098795
Played Sep 9Finished
Ondrej Paril
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11761112108111210
Radomir Revay
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeOndrej Paril to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Paril above · Radomir Revay below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 98 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Ondrej Paril at 54.1%
98 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Paril 24–18 Radomir Revay Radomir Revay has won 18 of their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Paril
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-18 in 42
Paril
Correct
gap of 6 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paril 1862 vs Revay 1793
Paril
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paril 60% vs Revay 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paril 30% vs Revay 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Paril +3 · Revay +1
Paril
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Paril) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParil 1.73 / Revay 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Paril)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098795
Paril1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 181 of 331
Up 2–0, closes it91% 82 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it75% 137 of 182
Revay2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog48% won 126 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back31% 47 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back14% 10 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParil5wins
AwayRevay5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePariln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayRevay62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paril2Revay8n = 10Revay took 8 of 10
S2Paril5Revay5n = 10split evenly
S3Paril5Revay5n = 10split evenly
S4Paril5Revay3n = 8Paril took 5 of 8
S5Paril2Revay1n = 3Paril took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricParilRevayP − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.840.7−1.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParilRevayBasisWin rate · lifetime501 / 965 vs 292 / 56551.9%51.7%501 / 965 vs 292 / 565Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParilParil 1.73/Revay 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Paril · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 19:30O. Paril—1311811133R. Revay—159116112
LAug 27 · 10:30O. Paril—91320R. Revay—1115113
WAug 18 · 09:00O. Paril—13811113R. Revay—1111761
LAug 18 · 07:30O. Paril—1011881R. Revay—12711113
LAug 12 · 19:00O. Paril—5700R. Revay—1111113
WAug 11 · 06:00O. Paril—511149113R. Revay—117121142
LAug 4 · 11:00O. Paril—68121562R. Revay—11111013113
WAug 3 · 21:30O. Paril—101111113R. Revay—124971
LAug 3 · 19:30O. Paril—6111181R. Revay—11137113
WJul 23 · 08:00O. Paril—13115113R. Revay—1171151
O. Paril10
WSep 9 · 09:30O. Paril1.80111110113R. Polasek1.90891281WSep 9 · 07:00O. Paril1.80711112113R. Polasek1.9111781192WSep 9 · 06:00M. Vavrecka2.20731491O. Paril1.61111112113WSep 7 · 21:00T. Dousek1.7310990O. Paril2.001211113LSep 7 · 20:00O. Paril2.75761171D. Opanasiuk1.4011118113LSep 7 · 19:30T. Dousek1.80111179113O. Paril1.9159111162LSep 7 · 18:00O. Paril1.61116971M. Vavrecka2.2051111113LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111
R. Revay10
WSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay1.921111512123M. Vavrecka1.78491114102WSep 9 · 07:30R. Revay2.0011711113M. Vavrecka1.73711671LSep 9 · 06:30R. Polasek1.8311117123R. Revay1.838711101LSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113WSep 4 · 12:00R. Revay1.9181111133M. Navedla1.801186111WSep 4 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8011711992R. Revay1.91611411113WSep 4 · 10:00R. Revay1.44111112113L. Prikasky2.63851461LSep 3 · 08:58T. Zika1.801112143R. Revay1.91910120LSep 3 · 08:30J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Revay2.108590LSep 3 · 07:30R. Revay1.91126111172T. Zika1.80141156113
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