TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103084
Played Sep 10Finished
Michal Vavrecka
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111113113311––
Matyas Navedla
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatyas Navedla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vavrecka above · Matyas Navedla below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 71 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Matyas Navedla at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vavrecka 20–14 Matyas Navedla Matyas Navedla has won 14 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:47What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vavrecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-14 in 34
Vavrecka
Wrong
gap of 6 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1793 vs Navedla 1787
Vavrecka
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 0% vs Navedla 40%
Navedla
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 40% vs Navedla 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka -5 · Navedla +1
Vavrecka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.57 / Navedla 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Vavrecka)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103084
Vavrecka1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 170 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it88% 70 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it75% 120 of 161
Navedla2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 140 of 327
Down 0–1, comes back25% 41 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka6wins
AwayNavedla4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka83.3%5 of 6
AwayNavedla75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka6Navedla4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S2Vavrecka6Navedla4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S3Vavrecka6Navedla4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S4Vavrecka4Navedla4n = 8split evenly
S5Vavrecka3Navedla3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaNavedlaV − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.040.3+2.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaNavedlaBasisWin rate · lifetime1013 / 2006 vs 361 / 75650.5%47.8%1013 / 2006 vs 361 / 756Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaVavrecka 1.57/Navedla 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Navedla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 06:00M. Vavrecka—8111131M. Navedla—11133113
WSep 5 · 08:00M. Vavrecka—135411163M. Navedla—1111117142
WAug 26 · 10:30M. Vavrecka—1111113M. Navedla—9850
WAug 23 · 18:30M. Vavrecka—1118109113M. Navedla—616121182
WAug 23 · 14:30M. Vavrecka—11117113M. Navedla—861161
WAug 12 · 14:30M. Vavrecka—1111113M. Navedla—3670
LAug 12 · 06:30M. Vavrecka—591111102M. Navedla—111187123
WAug 11 · 06:30M. Vavrecka—661111113M. Navedla—11119882
LJul 15 · 12:00M. Vavrecka—71111582M. Navedla—117811113
LJul 12 · 08:00M. Vavrecka—1111810102M. Navedla—911112123
M. Vavrecka10
LSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay1.921111512123M. Vavrecka1.78491114102LSep 9 · 08:00M. Vavrecka2.0011812101R. Polasek1.73131110123LSep 9 · 07:30R. Revay2.0011711113M. Vavrecka1.73711671LSep 9 · 06:00M. Vavrecka2.20731491O. Paril1.61111112113LSep 7 · 21:30M. Vavrecka2.356760D. Opanasiuk1.521111113WSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491WSep 7 · 19:00M. Vavrecka2.25119118113D. Opanasiuk1.5781191182WSep 7 · 18:00O. Paril1.61116971M. Vavrecka2.2051111113WSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113
M. Navedla10
WSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla1.83611128113R. Revay1.83118101182WSep 8 · 08:58J. Pilch1.8091190M. Navedla1.911113113LSep 8 · 08:30J. Pilch1.80811711113M. Navedla1.9111511952LSep 8 · 07:30M. Navedla2.20101161162R. Polasek1.61126119113LSep 8 · 06:30P. Wawrosz1.53111111113M. Navedla2.38813481WSep 7 · 13:30M. Navedla2.1071111113T. Dousek1.67116841LSep 7 · 12:30J. Pilch1.731161110123M. Navedla2.00611512102WSep 7 · 11:30M. Navedla2.501111123T. Dousek1.5098100WSep 7 · 10:30P. Wawrosz1.738550M. Navedla2.001111113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171
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