TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104108
Played Sep 10Finished
Michal Vavrecka
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111012116711––
Radomir Revay
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeRadomir Revay to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vavrecka above · Radomir Revay below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 77 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Radomir Revay at 57.6%
77 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vavrecka 21–20 Radomir Revay Radomir Revay has won 20 of their 41 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vavrecka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-20 in 41
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1781 vs Revay 1809
Revay
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 0% vs Revay 40%
Revay
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 40% vs Revay 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka -5 · Revay -1
Vavrecka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.73 / Revay 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vavrecka)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104108
Vavrecka1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite53% won 170 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it88% 70 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it75% 120 of 161
Revay2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 126 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back31% 46 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back14% 10 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka5wins
AwayRevay5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka66.7%2 of 3
AwayRevay57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka3Revay7n = 10Revay took 7 of 10
S2Vavrecka3Revay7n = 10Revay took 7 of 10
S3Vavrecka7Revay3n = 10Vavrecka took 7 of 10
S4Vavrecka5Revay4n = 9Vavrecka took 5 of 9
S5Vavrecka2Revay1n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaRevayV − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.539.3+0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaRevayBasisWin rate · lifetime1013 / 2007 vs 294 / 56950.5%51.7%1013 / 2007 vs 294 / 569Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaVavrecka 1.73/Revay 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 08:00M. Vavrecka—9101171R. Revay—11126113
LSep 9 · 09:04M. Vavrecka—491114102R. Revay—1111512123
LSep 9 · 07:30M. Vavrecka—711671R. Revay—11711113
LAug 29 · 09:00M. Vavrecka—10560R. Revay—1211113
WAug 29 · 07:00M. Vavrecka—91111113R. Revay—114841
WAug 28 · 09:30M. Vavrecka—31111113R. Revay—115991
WAug 28 · 07:00M. Vavrecka—111111113R. Revay—813981
WAug 18 · 06:00M. Vavrecka—119116113R. Revay—81151172
WAug 11 · 09:00M. Vavrecka—1081111113R. Revay—12119682
LAug 11 · 07:00M. Vavrecka—1181081R. Revay—71112113
M. Vavrecka10
LSep 10 · 09:00M. Navedla2.1091111113M. Vavrecka1.67115451LSep 10 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.578111131M. Navedla2.2511133113LSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay1.921111512123M. Vavrecka1.78491114102LSep 9 · 08:00M. Vavrecka2.0011812101R. Polasek1.73131110123LSep 9 · 07:30R. Revay2.0011711113M. Vavrecka1.73711671LSep 9 · 06:00M. Vavrecka2.20731491O. Paril1.61111112113LSep 7 · 21:30M. Vavrecka2.356760D. Opanasiuk1.521111113WSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491WSep 7 · 19:00M. Vavrecka2.25119118113D. Opanasiuk1.5781191182WSep 7 · 18:00O. Paril1.61116971M. Vavrecka2.2051111113
R. Revay10
LSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla1.83611128113R. Revay1.83118101182WSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay1.921111512123M. Vavrecka1.78491114102LSep 9 · 08:30O. Paril1.73116128123R. Revay2.007111011102WSep 9 · 07:30R. Revay2.0011711113M. Vavrecka1.73711671LSep 9 · 06:30R. Polasek1.8311117123R. Revay1.838711101LSep 4 · 13:30R. Revay1.908460P. Wawrosz1.801111113WSep 4 · 12:00R. Revay1.9181111133M. Navedla1.801186111WSep 4 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8011711992R. Revay1.91611411113WSep 4 · 10:00R. Revay1.44111112113L. Prikasky2.63851461LSep 3 · 08:58T. Zika1.801112143R. Revay1.91910120
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