TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103361
Played Sep 10Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118811119––
Ondrej Paril
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeOndrej Paril to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Ondrej Paril at 56.3%
78 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 37–45 Ondrej Paril Radovan Polasek has won 37 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Paril
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-45 in 82
Paril
Wrong
gap of 8 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1848 vs Paril 1891
Paril
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 40% vs Paril 100%
Paril
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 50% vs Paril 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek -1 · Paril +5
Paril
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Paril) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paril form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 1.83 / Paril 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Paril)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103361
Polasek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Paril1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek3wins
AwayParil7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderParil leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasek33.3%2 of 6
AwayParil75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek6Paril4n = 10Polasek took 6 of 10
S2Polasek3Paril7n = 10Paril took 7 of 10
S3Polasek5Paril5n = 10split evenly
S4Polasek4Paril5n = 9Paril took 5 of 9
S5Polasek1Paril3n = 4Paril took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekParilPolasek − ParilBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.339.6+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekParilBasisWin rate · lifetime446 / 876 vs 503 / 96750.9%52%446 / 876 vs 503 / 967Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParilPolasek 1.83/Paril 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Paril · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 09:30R. Polasek—891281O. Paril—111110113
LSep 9 · 07:00R. Polasek—11781192O. Paril—711112113
LSep 4 · 10:30R. Polasek—13991172O. Paril—1111118113
WSep 4 · 09:30R. Polasek—1111113O. Paril—7560
LSep 4 · 07:30R. Polasek—411861O. Paril—11911113
WAug 30 · 09:30R. Polasek—591311113O. Paril—111111362
LAug 30 · 06:30R. Polasek—12711982O. Paril—1011711113
LAug 28 · 10:00R. Polasek—1011971O. Paril—12511113
WAug 26 · 06:30R. Polasek—11911113O. Paril—411391
LAug 25 · 13:00R. Polasek—116981O. Paril—81111113
R. Polasek10
WSep 10 · 11:30J. Pilch2.251151381R. Polasek1.5741115113LSep 9 · 17:30M. Grundel2.10117115113R. Polasek1.6571151162WSep 9 · 16:30L. Prikasky2.0391350R. Polasek1.621115113LSep 9 · 15:30R. Polasek1.75711781M. Skotnica1.9511811113WSep 9 · 14:30M. Grundel2.0854111122R. Polasek1.59111173113LSep 9 · 09:30O. Paril1.80111110113R. Polasek1.90891281WSep 9 · 08:00M. Vavrecka2.0011812101R. Polasek1.73131110123LSep 9 · 07:00O. Paril1.80711112113R. Polasek1.9111781192WSep 9 · 06:30R. Polasek1.8311117123R. Revay1.838711101WSep 8 · 09:29P. Wawrosz1.73711661R. Polasek2.0011411113
O. Paril10
WSep 10 · 11:00O. Paril1.44811193123M. Navedla2.631141711102WSep 9 · 09:30O. Paril1.80111110113R. Polasek1.90891281WSep 9 · 08:30O. Paril1.73116128123R. Revay2.007111011102WSep 9 · 07:00O. Paril1.80711112113R. Polasek1.9111781192WSep 9 · 06:00M. Vavrecka2.20731491O. Paril1.61111112113WSep 7 · 21:00T. Dousek1.7310990O. Paril2.001211113LSep 7 · 20:00O. Paril2.75761171D. Opanasiuk1.4011118113LSep 7 · 19:30T. Dousek1.80111179113O. Paril1.9159111162LSep 7 · 18:00O. Paril1.61116971M. Vavrecka2.2051111113LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950
Upcoming Matches
R. Polasek3 of 6 neutral
O. Paril3 of 4 neutral
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