TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100721
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
10.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611611––––
Serhii Ponomarenko
Away
1.03
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 91.4% is still 91.4%
Graded at full timeSerhii Ponomarenko to win
91.4%
91.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Serhii Ponomarenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Serhii Ponomarenko at 91.4%
50 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 0–55 Serhii Ponomarenko Serhii Kushnirenko has won 0 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.03 (91%)
Ponomarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-55 in 55
Ponomarenko
Correct
gap of 55 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kushnirenko 1909 vs Ponomarenko 1910
Ponomarenko
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kushnirenko 80% vs Ponomarenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kushnirenko 70% vs Ponomarenko 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kushnirenko +2 · Ponomarenko +4
Ponomarenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Ponomarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ponomarenko form (80%) is below what odds imply (97%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 10.00 / Ponomarenko 1.03
Signal prob.9% / 91%
Edge (Ponomarenko)+0.7pp
Setka Cup · #13100721
Kushnirenko10.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 126 of 379
Down 0–1, comes back19% 43 of 230
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 127
Ponomarenko1.03
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite88% won 307 of 349
Up 2–0, closes it100% 202 of 203
Up 1–0, closes it95% 254 of 267
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko0wins
AwayPonomarenko10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPonomarenko leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenko0%0 of 4
AwayPonomarenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko4Ponomarenko6n = 10Ponomarenko took 6 of 10
S2Kushnirenko0Ponomarenko10n = 10Ponomarenko took 10 of 10
S3Kushnirenko0Ponomarenko10n = 10Ponomarenko took 10 of 10
S4Kushnirenko1Ponomarenko3n = 4Ponomarenko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoPonomarenkoK − PBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match26.138.1−12.0per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoPonomarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 773 vs 782 / 86841.4%90.1%320 / 773 vs 782 / 868Avg sets wonper match1.82.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoKushnirenko 10.00/Ponomarenko 1.03
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91.4%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ponomarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 27 · 15:00S. Kushnirenko—115991S. Ponomarenko—71111113
LJul 22 · 07:30S. Kushnirenko—117321S. Ponomarenko—81111113
LJul 21 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko—2650S. Ponomarenko—1111113
LJul 18 · 10:38S. Kushnirenko—11520S. Ponomarenko—1311113
LJul 18 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko—31290S. Ponomarenko—1114113
LJul 17 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko—116691S. Ponomarenko—61111113
LJul 15 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko—101070S. Ponomarenko—1212113
LJul 11 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko—67170S. Ponomarenko—1111193
LJul 10 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko—11681132S. Ponomarenko—711118113
LJun 25 · 08:00S. Kushnirenko—7950S. Ponomarenko—1111113
S. Kushnirenko10
WSep 8 · 17:29R. Horokh1.405890S. Kushnirenko2.751111113WSep 8 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko1.361111113S. Kiilo3.003690LSep 8 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.10121111362D. Kryshtal1.67149911113WSep 8 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.20811712113V. Komar1.61118111072WSep 8 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko2.7511115113R. Horokh1.40771161WSep 2 · 17:05S. Kushnirenko1.368111511113S. Kiilo3.00119131382LSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131WSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572LSep 2 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.251211113S. Kushnirenko1.3310880WSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142
S. Ponomarenko10
WSep 9 · 12:00R. Horokh4.50761181S. Ponomarenko1.1711116113WSep 3 · 19:25S. Ponomarenko1.01111112123E. Rubtsov12.008714101WSep 3 · 17:55S. Ponomarenko1.20113911113P. Plakushchyi4.3351111672WSep 3 · 16:25S. Ponomarenko1.041114113O. Kovalchuk9.0071270LSep 3 · 14:55S. Ponomarenko2.008580M. Makienko1.731111113WSep 3 · 13:25S. Ponomarenko1.101111113O. Mishchenko6.508880LSep 3 · 04:25O. Mishchenko7.0011114113S. Ponomarenko1.08981171WSep 3 · 02:55S. Ponomarenko1.03811611113O. Kovalchuk10.0011611692WSep 3 · 24:55P. Plakushchyi3.751110981S. Ponomarenko1.2551211113WSep 2 · 22:55E. Rubtsov11.009290S. Ponomarenko1.021111113
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