TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066224
Played Sep 2Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81111915131113118
Serhii Kiilo
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Serhii Kiilo below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 110 set 5, 11-8
110 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 27–14 Serhii Kiilo Serhii Kiilo has won 14 of their 41 meetings.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kushnirenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kiilo form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 1.36 / Kiilo 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kushnirenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13066224
Kushnirenko1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite81% won 52 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Kiilo3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog19% won 30 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back12% 15 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko6wins
AwayKiilo4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKushnirenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenko100%5 of 5
AwayKiilo80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko5Kiilo5n = 10split evenly
S2Kushnirenko4Kiilo6n = 10Kiilo took 6 of 10
S3Kushnirenko5Kiilo5n = 10split evenly
S4Kushnirenko7Kiilo0n = 7Kushnirenko took 7 of 7
S5Kushnirenko1Kiilo2n = 3Kiilo took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoKiiloKushnirenko − KiiloBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.436.8+2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoKiiloBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 772 vs 98 / 36841.3%26.6%319 / 772 vs 98 / 368Avg sets wonper match1.81.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.734.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KushnirenkoKushnirenko 1.36/Kiilo 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Kushnirenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kushnirenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 13:30S. Kushnirenko—10880S. Kiilo—1211113
LAug 19 · 17:03S. Kushnirenko—71171562S. Kiilo—1181113113
WAug 19 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko—111011113S. Kiilo—712951
WAug 3 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko—12912113S. Kiilo—10111081
WAug 1 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko—11911113S. Kiilo—811741
WJul 6 · 17:14S. Kushnirenko—1114113S. Kiilo—21270
LJul 6 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko—71160S. Kiilo—1113113
WJul 2 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko—11118133S. Kiilo—8311111
WJun 30 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko—711511113S. Kiilo—11511572
LJun 29 · 15:00S. Kushnirenko—137111312S. Kiilo—1511211113
S. Kushnirenko10
LSep 2 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.6111119153S. Kushnirenko2.208611131WSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.751011811113R. Horokh1.4012511572LSep 2 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.251211113S. Kushnirenko1.3310880WSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 31 · 17:14R. Horokh1.402101191S. Kushnirenko2.7511127113WAug 31 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.617111091S. Kushnirenko2.2011812113LAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko2.759111091R. Horokh1.4011912113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Balabei1.3051191192S. Kushnirenko3.40116117113LAug 31 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101171192D. Yurkov1.61129119113LAug 26 · 10:35D. Kryshtal1.7311118113S. Kushnirenko2.00571191
S. Kiilo10
LSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:00S. Kiilo1.611111113M. Levytskii2.208780WSep 2 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.251211113S. Kushnirenko1.3310880LSep 2 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.00141111952R. Horokh1.14167711113WAug 19 · 17:03S. Kiilo3.401181113113S. Kushnirenko1.3071171562LAug 19 · 16:00S. Kiilo5.0051080R. Horokh1.141112113WAug 19 · 15:00D. Kryshtal1.2271161152S. Kiilo4.00117114113WAug 19 · 14:00V. Komar1.281110961S. Kiilo3.5031211113LAug 19 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.33111011113S. Kiilo3.25712951LAug 11 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.251111113S. Kiilo3.754510
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